Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots: match statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tampa Bay Rowdies played Oakland Roots in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Oakland Roots: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 2.00 and concedes 0.25 goals per match. Oakland Roots scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tampa Bay Rowdies 25%, Oakland Roots 50%. Over 2.5: Tampa Bay Rowdies 50%, Oakland Roots 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Tampa Bay Rowdies has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.40. Tampa Bay Rowdies: 17.5 shots per match, Oakland Roots: 12.0.
Match halves
Tampa Bay Rowdies: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50. Oakland Roots: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Tampa Bay Rowdies: 76-90+ (4 goals). Oakland Roots: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdies decisively dominate at home: they have a 100% win rate at their stadium (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), score an average of 3.0 goals per home match and have scored 9 goals in their last 5 games. Their attacking strength is supported by a home xG of 2.07 and a high shot volume: on average 19 attempts and 8.5 shots on target per match, with a conversion rate of 16%. Oakland Roots score on the road an average of 1.5 goals per match with xG 1.45, average 12.5 shots and 4 on target, and a conversion rate of 12%. Defensively Tampa concedes only 0.5 goals per home match with xG against 0.43 and keep 50% clean sheets, while Oakland concedes an average of 1.0 goal away with xG against 1.35, giving the hosts an advantage on both ends of the pitch. Considering 3.0 vs 1.5 goals per match, the xG edge (2.07 vs 1.45), more shots and higher home conversion %, plus better form (last 5 matches Tampa: dwwww and 2.6 points per game vs Oakland: wwwdl and 2.0 points per game), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I select BTTS - Yes as the more likely outcome because in the last 5 matches Tampa Bay scored 9 goals (avg 1.8) and Oakland 8 goals (avg 1.6), indicating both teams are capable of scoring. xG supports this: recent xG for Tampa is 1.73 versus 1.38 for Oakland, while Oakland’s xG against is 1.4, so the visitors have recently been conceding more chances. Seasonal indicators are mixed – both teams have season BTTS of 50% and the league average BTTS is 52%, suggesting an even outcome but not decisive. The key conflict is clean sheet percentage: Oakland has a 50% clean sheet rate this season while Tampa at home has 0%; however, in the last 5 matches Tampa conceded only 0.4 goals on average and Oakland conceded 4 goals, so recent trends favor both teams scoring. Considering the offensive edge over the last 5 matches and Oakland’s xG vulnerability, I assess BTTS at 60% vs 40% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combined season data and form from the last 5 matches yield expected xG of approximately 1.48 for Tampa Bay and 1.20 for Oakland, totaling 2.68 goals (seasonal xG: 1.32 vs 1.45; xG against: 1.37 vs 1.35; last 5 home matches xG for 1.73, visitors 1.38, recent xG against 0.78 vs 1.40). A Poisson model with a mean of 2.68 indicates P(Over 1.5) ≈75% (P≥2≈0.75), P(Over 2.5) ≈50% (P≥3≈0.50) and P(Over 3.5) ≈28% (P≥4≈0.28). Both teams have scored in 100% of their matches this season, and in the last 5 fixtures they averaged 1.8 (Tampa Bay) and 1.6 (Oakland) goals, which supports Over 1.5 goals. Tampa Bay averages 5 shots on target per match versus 4 for Oakland, with conversion rates of 9% vs 12%, so chances are created by both sides and the visitors’ higher efficiency offsets the differences. As a result, the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is Over 1.5 (≈75%), while Over 2.5 is borderline (≈50%) and Over 3.5 has a low probability (≈28%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 2/1 (away leading at the break, home wins) because Oakland has clearer goal production before halftime: on average 1.0 goals before the break versus 0.5 for Tampa Bay, and 2 goals in the 31–45 min window, indicating frequent strikes just before the end of the first half. Tampa Bay, however, is stronger after the break — in the last 5 matches the home side scores an average of 1.4 goals post-break versus 0.8 for Oakland and has won second halves in 80% of cases, increasing the chance of a turnaround. Seasonally Oakland has more points per game (2.0 vs 1.5), slightly higher xG (1.45 vs 1.32) and better shot conversion (12% vs 9%), so they more often hold the lead at halftime, but that advantage is not overwhelming. Therefore the strongest signal is the away team leading at the break with the home team coming back to win — 28% for 2/1; I assign 18% to 2/2 and 14% to X/1 as realistic alternatives. Other scenarios have smaller numerical support (e.g. X/X 12% or X/1 14%) and complete the distribution to 100%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 71% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.75 pts / match - Oakland Roots
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.25 goals / match - Oakland Roots
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.25 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1 goals / match - Oakland Roots
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Oakland Roots keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Oakland Roots scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Over / Under - Oakland Roots
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Oakland Roots - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Oakland Roots
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Liga | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 0 - 1 Oakland Roots. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?
The USL Championship match finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2 Oakland Roots. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?
Tampa Bay Rowdies score 2.00 goals per game on average and Oakland Roots 1.25. The USL Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's matches and 50% of Oakland Roots's.
What form are Tampa Bay Rowdies and Oakland Roots in?
Over the last 5 games Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 4-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Oakland Roots 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?
The statistical background for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.