United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 13 August 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tampa Bay Rowdies play Rhode Island in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 15 August 2026.

Current form

Tampa Bay Rowdies: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Rhode Island: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.56 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Rhode Island scores 1.71 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%, Rhode Island 71%. Over 2.5: Tampa Bay Rowdies 38%, Rhode Island 57%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Rhode Island has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.77. Tampa Bay Rowdies: 16.0 shots per match, Rhode Island: 16.5.

Match halves

Tampa Bay Rowdies: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.75. Rhode Island: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.14.

Goals by minute

Tampa Bay Rowdies: 76-90+ (9 goals). Rhode Island: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-3. Average goals 3.80, BTTS 60%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.69)
(3.70)
(4.05)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
1.56Goals scored / match1.71
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
0.81Goals conceded / match1.29
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
54%Average possession48%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
4.63Shots on target / match6
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16Shots per match16.5
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
4.63Shots on target6
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
9.8%Shot conversion10.4%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
54%Possession48%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
1.77xG for1.88
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
1.14xG against1.14
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

Shooting quality

Tampa Bay Rowdies: AttackingRhode Island: Attacking
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
Accuracy (shots on target)29%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rhode Island is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.4 pts / match - Rhode Island

Tampa Bay Rowdies
DLWLD
Season result split
56% W31% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-2
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Rhode Island
LWDLW
Season result split
36% W29% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-5
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-4
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rhode Island is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.56 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.71 goals / match - Rhode Island

Tampa Bay Rowdies is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.81 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.29 goals / match - Rhode Island

Tampa Bay Rowdies scoring profile: very strong

Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Rhode Island keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).

Rhode Island scoring profile: strong

Rhode Island scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).

25Goals scored (season)24
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
13Goals conceded (season)18
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
2.38Average goals in match3
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal86%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
44%2 goals36%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
19%3 goals29%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
0%4 goals21%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal79%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
19%2 goals29%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
6%3 goals14%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
6%4 goals7%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
Tampa Bay Rowdies - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 16 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time21%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
0%BTTS in both halves7%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
19%Scored in both halves29%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
60%BTTS - last 560%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tampa Bay Rowdies is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.36 pts / match - Rhode Island

Tampa Bay Rowdies - half-time state
56% leading31% draw13% trailing
Rhode Island - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.36
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
0.81Goals scored (1st half)0.57
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
1.13Average goals (1st half)1
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
81%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
44%No goal before half-time50%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.36
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
1.25Average goals (2nd half)2
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
56%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
44%No goal after half-time36%
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island

Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results

38% W38% R25% P
32
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Rhode Island - second-half results

29% W50% R21% P
19
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tampa Bay Rowdies - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Rhode Island - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tampa Bay Rowdies
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
0
0
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Rhode Island
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
7
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
6
46-60
6
2
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+41%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Rhode Island

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Tampa Bay RowdiesLigaRhode Island
Average goals in match 2.382.79 3.00
Both teams scored 44%58% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%52% 57%
Clean sheets 50%26% 21%
Goal before half-time 69%67% 64%
Goal after half-time 75%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 1 - 3 Rhode Island. Average goals 3.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.

Rhode Island FC
1 : 1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Rhode Island FC
5 : 0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0 : 3
Rhode Island FC
Rhode Island
3 : 1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies
4 : 1
Rhode Island

FAQ

When do Tampa Bay Rowdies and Rhode Island play?

Tampa Bay Rowdies face Rhode Island on 15 August 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Rhode Island?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay Rowdies won 1, Rhode Island won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?

Tampa Bay Rowdies score 1.56 goals per game on average and Rhode Island 1.71. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's matches and 71% of Rhode Island's.

What form are Tampa Bay Rowdies and Rhode Island in?

Over the last 5 games Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Rhode Island 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?

The statistical background for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.