Tamworth vs Aldershot Town: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests both teams are very evenly matched. Tamworth has averaged only 0.8 points per game with four draws in their last five matches, indicating struggles to break down opponents. Aldershot Town is in better form, averaging 2 points per game over their last five outings, but their poor away record (53% loss rate, conceding an average of 1.87 goals) represents a significant burden. The hosts hold a home advantage with a 33% win rate and a lower average of conceded goals (1.13). However, their recent series of draws and no wins in the last five matches weakens their position. Considering the teams' even xG metrics and Aldershot's high average of goals per game (3.53), I expect an open, closely contested match with a slight home edge, yet a draw appears to be the most likely outcome.
Tamworth vs Aldershot Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tamworth played Aldershot Town in National League (England). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tamworth: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Aldershot Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tamworth scores 1.20 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Aldershot Town scores 1.76 and concedes 1.97. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tamworth 70%, Aldershot Town 69%. Over 2.5: Tamworth 57%, Aldershot Town 76%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Aldershot Town has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.48. Tamworth: 11.2 shots per match, Aldershot Town: 12.6.
Match halves
Tamworth: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.63. Aldershot Town: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Tamworth: 76-90+ (9 goals). Aldershot Town: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests both teams are very evenly matched. Tamworth has averaged only 0.8 points per game with four draws in their last five matches, indicating struggles to break down opponents. Aldershot Town is in better form, averaging 2 points per game over their last five outings, but their poor away record (53% loss rate, conceding an average of 1.87 goals) represents a significant burden. The hosts hold a home advantage with a 33% win rate and a lower average of conceded goals (1.13). However, their recent series of draws and no wins in the last five matches weakens their position. Considering the teams' even xG metrics and Aldershot's high average of goals per game (3.53), I expect an open, closely contested match with a slight home edge, yet a draw appears to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tamworth | Aldershot Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aldershot Town is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Tamworth · 2 pts / match - Aldershot Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aldershot Town is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.76 goals / match - Aldershot Town
Tamworth is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.97 goals / match - Aldershot Town
Tamworth scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Aldershot Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
Aldershot Town scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tamworth
Over / Under - Aldershot Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aldershot Town is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.17 pts / match - Aldershot Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aldershot Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tamworth
Aldershot Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Tamworth | Liga | Aldershot Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.87 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 56% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▲ 76% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tamworth 1 - 0 - 0 Aldershot Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tamworth vs Aldershot Town?
The National League match finished Tamworth 1:1 Aldershot Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Aldershot Town?
Tamworth score 1.20 goals per game on average and Aldershot Town 1.76. The National League average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Tamworth's matches and 69% of Aldershot Town's.
What form are Tamworth and Aldershot Town in?
Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Aldershot Town 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Aldershot Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.