Tamworth vs Altrincham: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Tamworth has recorded a streak of five draws in their last five matches, showing defensive stability but a lack of offensive efficiency. The hosts have a better home goal difference (-1) and higher xG (1.57 vs 1.46), giving them a slight edge. Altrincham presents poor away form (67% losses, only 13% wins), but their last two overall wins may suggest an improvement in disposition. Given Tamworth's recent run of draws and Altrincham's struggles on the road, a sharing of points is the most likely scenario, although the hosts have slightly better winning chances due to home advantage and superior xG stats.
Tamworth vs Altrincham: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tamworth played Altrincham in National League (England). The match was played on 24 February 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Tamworth: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Altrincham: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tamworth scores 1.16 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Altrincham scores 1.15 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tamworth 69%, Altrincham 64%. Over 2.5: Tamworth 53%, Altrincham 61%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Altrincham has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.45. Tamworth: 10.9 shots per match, Altrincham: 12.0.
Match halves
Tamworth: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.63. Altrincham: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Tamworth: 76-90+ (9 goals). Altrincham: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Tamworth has recorded a streak of five draws in their last five matches, showing defensive stability but a lack of offensive efficiency. The hosts have a better home goal difference (-1) and higher xG (1.57 vs 1.46), giving them a slight edge. Altrincham presents poor away form (67% losses, only 13% wins), but their last two overall wins may suggest an improvement in disposition. Given Tamworth's recent run of draws and Altrincham's struggles on the road, a sharing of points is the most likely scenario, although the hosts have slightly better winning chances due to home advantage and superior xG stats.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tamworth | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Altrincham is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.4 pts / match - Altrincham
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Altrincham is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.48 goals / match - Altrincham
Tamworth scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Altrincham keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
Altrincham scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tamworth
Over / Under - Altrincham
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Altrincham is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.3 pts / match - Altrincham
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Altrincham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tamworth
Altrincham
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Tamworth | Liga | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 2.86 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 24% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tamworth 1 - 0 - 0 Altrincham. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tamworth vs Altrincham?
The National League match finished Tamworth 5:1 Altrincham. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Altrincham?
Tamworth score 1.16 goals per game on average and Altrincham 1.15. The National League average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Tamworth's matches and 64% of Altrincham's.
What form are Tamworth and Altrincham in?
Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Altrincham 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Altrincham?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.