Tamworth vs Barrow: match statistics
Tamworth vs Barrow: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tamworth played Barrow in National League (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: The Lamb Ground. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tamworth: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Barrow: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tamworth scores 1.67 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Barrow scores 1.67 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tamworth 83%, Barrow 58%. Over 2.5: Tamworth 83%, Barrow 67%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Barrow has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.57. Tamworth: 12.6 shots per match, Barrow: 10.8.
Match halves
Tamworth: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 1.17. Barrow: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Tamworth: 76-90+ (6 goals). Barrow: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tamworth have a clear home advantage: they have won 60% of their home matches, while Barrow have won just 17% of their away games. The hosts average 2 goals at home with an xG of 1,96, while the visitors score 1,5 goals per away match with an xG of 1,48, pointing to greater attacking potential for Tamworth in this matchup. However, Barrow are in better overall form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded 4 goals in that run, compared with 3 wins and 9 goals conceded for Tamworth. The visitors’ superior defensive record across the season also boosts their chances: 15 goals conceded against 28 by the hosts. Even so, Barrow’s weaker away results—including no clean sheets and an average of 1,67 goals conceded—tip the prediction slightly in Tamworth’s favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Tamworth score an average of 1.83 goals per home game, while Barrow concede 1.67 away from home, which points to the hosts finding the net. The visitors also have reason to score: they average 1.50 goals away from home and have averaged 2.0 across their last five matches. Both teams scored in 50% of Tamworth’s home games and 67% of Barrow’s away matches, giving BTTS - Yes a slight edge. However, this is not a strong signal, as Tamworth kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home games, while Barrow failed to score in 33% of their away matches.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been surpassed in 83% of matches for both Tamworth and Barrow. The hosts average 1.83 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.67, supporting the case for at least one Tamworth goal. Barrow average 1.5 goals and generate an xG of 1.48, so they could also get on the scoresheet, although Tamworth have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of both teams’ last five matches, but the gap between Tamworth’s (83%) and Barrow’s (50%) season figures makes this line less reliable than Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Tamworth were level at the break in 5 of their 6 matches, Barrow in 4 of 6, and the visitors went into half-time level in each of their last 5 games. After the break, I give Tamworth the advantage: they score an average of 1.5 goals in second halves, while Barrow concede 1.17. The hosts have won the second half in 67% of matches, compared with just 17% for the visitors; Tamworth’s average of 1.83 goals scored per match, against Barrow’s 1.67 goals conceded, also supports a home win. However, the risk attached to the X/1 pick is significant, as Barrow have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 2 goals in them, so X/2 remains a strong alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tamworth | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barrow is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Tamworth · 2.4 pts / match - Barrow
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barrow is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.25 goals / match - Barrow
Tamworth scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Barrow keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
Barrow scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tamworth
Over / Under - Barrow
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barrow is 87% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.25 pts / match - Barrow
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Barrow - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tamworth
Barrow
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Tamworth | Liga | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.06 | ▼ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 64% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 19% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 87% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Tamworth vs Barrow?
The National League match finished Tamworth 1:2 Barrow. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Barrow?
Tamworth score 1.67 goals per game on average and Barrow 1.67. The National League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Tamworth's matches and 58% of Barrow's.
What form are Tamworth and Barrow in?
Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Barrow 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Barrow?
The statistical background for Tamworth vs Barrow — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.