Tamworth vs Boreham Wood: match statistics
Boreham Wood presents decidedly higher form and quality this season, sitting 4th in the table with 19 wins, whereas Tamworth ranks 12th with only 11 victories. The visitors boast an impressive away goal record (63:39 overall, +14 difference in away matches), scoring an average of 2.19 goals per away game with a 50% win rate. Tamworth has a weaker average in home matches (1.29 goals per game) and only 35% wins, highlighting their limited offensive efficiency. xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.87 xG For vs 1.61 for the hosts), and Boreham Wood has a significantly higher average possession (57% vs 43%). The form over the last five matches is balanced, but Boreham Wood's qualitative and statistical advantage makes them the favorites for this fixture, although Tamworth's ability to challenge rivals at home justifies some probability of a draw.
Tamworth vs Boreham Wood: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tamworth played Boreham Wood in National League (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Tamworth: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Boreham Wood: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tamworth scores 1.27 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Boreham Wood scores 1.91 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tamworth 70%, Boreham Wood 61%. Over 2.5: Tamworth 55%, Boreham Wood 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Boreham Wood has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.48. Tamworth: 11.1 shots per match, Boreham Wood: 13.9.
Match halves
Tamworth: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.73. Boreham Wood: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Tamworth: 76-90+ (11 goals). Boreham Wood: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Boreham Wood presents decidedly higher form and quality this season, sitting 4th in the table with 19 wins, whereas Tamworth ranks 12th with only 11 victories. The visitors boast an impressive away goal record (63:39 overall, +14 difference in away matches), scoring an average of 2.19 goals per away game with a 50% win rate. Tamworth has a weaker average in home matches (1.29 goals per game) and only 35% wins, highlighting their limited offensive efficiency. xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.87 xG For vs 1.61 for the hosts), and Boreham Wood has a significantly higher average possession (57% vs 43%). The form over the last five matches is balanced, but Boreham Wood's qualitative and statistical advantage makes them the favorites for this fixture, although Tamworth's ability to challenge rivals at home justifies some probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tamworth | Boreham Wood | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Boreham Wood is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.6 pts / match - Boreham Wood
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boreham Wood is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.91 goals / match - Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.18 goals / match - Boreham Wood
Tamworth scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Boreham Wood keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
Boreham Wood scores in 94% of matches (31 of 33 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tamworth
Over / Under - Boreham Wood
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Boreham Wood is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.88 pts / match - Boreham Wood
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Boreham Wood - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tamworth
Boreham Wood
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Tamworth | Liga | Boreham Wood | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.85 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 24% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tamworth 1 - 0 - 0 Boreham Wood. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tamworth vs Boreham Wood?
The National League match finished Tamworth 3:2 Boreham Wood. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Boreham Wood?
Tamworth score 1.27 goals per game on average and Boreham Wood 1.91. The National League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Tamworth's matches and 61% of Boreham Wood's.
What form are Tamworth and Boreham Wood in?
Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Boreham Wood 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Boreham Wood?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tamworth vs Boreham Wood: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.