Tamworth vs Fylde: match statistics

Fylde are showing clearly better current form: they have collected 10 points from their last five matches, thanks to 3 wins and a draw, while Tamworth have picked up 6 points. The visitors have scored 14 goals during this period, averaging 2.8 per match, compared with Tamworth’s 11, while both teams have conceded 8 goals. Fylde also occupy the higher position in the table, sitting 12th compared with the hosts’ 15th place. The start of the season has been very evenly matched, as both teams drew their only league fixture so far; however, Fylde’s attacking consistency makes them marginally more likely to win. The draw remains a significant risk given the identical number of 8 goals conceded in their last five matches, which could point to an open encounter.

The strongest argument for BTTS - Yes is the current form of both teams: Tamworth are averaging 2.2 goals across their last 5 matches, while Fylde are averaging as many as 2.8. At the same time, each team has conceded 8 goals during this period, averaging 1.6 per game, which significantly increases the chances of goals at both ends. BTTS has landed in 80% of Tamworth’s last five matches and in 60% of Fylde’s games, compared with a league average of 67%. Their attacking potential is supported by xG: Tamworth are creating an average of 1.67 xG, while Fylde average 1.76 xG, and the hosts allow opponents as much as 1.98 xG. High scoring averages and Tamworth’s defensive vulnerability point towards a scenario in which both teams score at least once.

Both teams have shown a clearly attacking profile recently: Tamworth have scored 11 goals in five matches, while Fylde have scored as many as 14. At the same time, each side has conceded 8 goals over this period, resulting in averages of 3.8 and 4.4 total goals per match, respectively. In their last five games, at least three goals were scored in 60% of Tamworth’s matches and 80% of Fylde’s, compared with a league average of 3.75 goals. Their scoring potential is also supported by the xG data: Fylde generate an average of 1.76 xG, while Tamworth allow opponents 1.98 xG and the hosts produce 1.67 xG per match. The Over 1.5 goals line has the strongest statistical backing, as even with moderate finishing efficiency, both teams regularly feature in matches with numerous chances and weak defensive performances.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Fylde win at full-time, as both teams were level at the break in 40% of their last five matches. Fylde are showing significantly better current form: they have collected 10 points from five matches and won 60% of them, while Tamworth have earned 6 points and recorded only a 20% win rate. The visitors score an average of 1.8 goals after the break, while Tamworth concede an average of 0.8 goals during this period; additionally, the second half produced at least one goal in 100% of Fylde’s last five matches. Although Tamworth have a home xG of 1.89 and average 9 shots on target, their results suggest vulnerability to late turnarounds, while Fylde have a favourable half-time goal difference of +4 across their last five appearances. The high average of 4.4 total goals in Fylde’s recent matches, compared with 3.8 for Tamworth, increases the likelihood that a more cautious first half will be decided in the visitors’ favour after the interval.