Tamworth vs Gateshead: match statistics
Tamworth appears to be the favorite for this fixture despite their mediocre form. The hosts possess a superior goal difference at home (-2) compared to Gateshead's away record (-12), along with scoring efficiency stats (9% vs 16%, but backed by a better xG of 1.59 vs 1.34). Gateshead is in disastrous form, currently on a five-game losing streak with zero points in their last five matches, making them highly vulnerable. The visitors' average of 2.5 goals conceded away and failing to score in 42% of their matches indicate severe offensive and defensive issues. Despite a 42% home loss rate, Tamworth should capitalize on their opponent's weaknesses and secure the three points, particularly given their possession advantage and superior xG metrics. While a draw remains a tangible possibility due to the unpredictability of both teams, Gateshead's form heavily tips the scales in favor of the hosts.
Tamworth vs Gateshead: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tamworth played Gateshead in National League (England). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Tamworth: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Gateshead: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tamworth scores 1.20 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Gateshead scores 1.17 and concedes 2.42. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tamworth 72%, Gateshead 50%. Over 2.5: Tamworth 60%, Gateshead 75%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Tamworth has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.41. Tamworth: 10.9 shots per match, Gateshead: 10.7.
Match halves
Tamworth: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Gateshead: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Tamworth: 16-30 (7 goals). Gateshead: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tamworth appears to be the favorite for this fixture despite their mediocre form. The hosts possess a superior goal difference at home (-2) compared to Gateshead's away record (-12), along with scoring efficiency stats (9% vs 16%, but backed by a better xG of 1.59 vs 1.34). Gateshead is in disastrous form, currently on a five-game losing streak with zero points in their last five matches, making them highly vulnerable. The visitors' average of 2.5 goals conceded away and failing to score in 42% of their matches indicate severe offensive and defensive issues. Despite a 42% home loss rate, Tamworth should capitalize on their opponent's weaknesses and secure the three points, particularly given their possession advantage and superior xG metrics. While a draw remains a tangible possibility due to the unpredictability of both teams, Gateshead's form heavily tips the scales in favor of the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tamworth | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tamworth is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Tamworth · 2.42 goals / match - Gateshead
Tamworth scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Gateshead keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
Gateshead scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tamworth
Over / Under - Gateshead
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tamworth is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Tamworth · 0.79 pts / match - Gateshead
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gateshead - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tamworth
Gateshead
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Tamworth | Liga | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 26% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tamworth 0 - 0 - 1 Gateshead. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tamworth vs Gateshead?
The National League match finished Tamworth 3:1 Gateshead. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Gateshead?
Tamworth score 1.20 goals per game on average and Gateshead 1.17. The National League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Tamworth's matches and 50% of Gateshead's.
What form are Tamworth and Gateshead in?
Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Gateshead 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Gateshead?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tamworth vs Gateshead: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.