Tamworth vs Hartlepool United: match statistics
The match is shaping up to be very evenly balanced, suggesting a draw. Tamworth wins 36% of their home games, but recent form is unstable (1 win in the last 5 matches). Hartlepool United away from home displays a solid defence (50% clean sheets) and an identical goal difference (-1) to the hosts. Both teams have similar efficiency rates – Tamworth scores an average of 1.07 goals per home match, while Hartlepool scores 0.93 away. A key factor is Hartlepool's high percentage of draws away (36%) and the fact that the hosts fail to score in 43% of their home games. Considering the even form, similar xG statistics, and the defensive approach of both sides, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
Tamworth vs Hartlepool United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tamworth played Hartlepool United in National League (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tamworth: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Hartlepool United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tamworth scores 1.18 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Hartlepool United scores 1.07 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tamworth 68%, Hartlepool United 40%. Over 2.5: Tamworth 57%, Hartlepool United 33%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Hartlepool United has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.47. Tamworth: 11.1 shots per match, Hartlepool United: 11.5.
Match halves
Tamworth: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.61. Hartlepool United: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Tamworth: 76-90+ (8 goals). Hartlepool United: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is shaping up to be very evenly balanced, suggesting a draw. Tamworth wins 36% of their home games, but recent form is unstable (1 win in the last 5 matches). Hartlepool United away from home displays a solid defence (50% clean sheets) and an identical goal difference (-1) to the hosts. Both teams have similar efficiency rates – Tamworth scores an average of 1.07 goals per home match, while Hartlepool scores 0.93 away. A key factor is Hartlepool's high percentage of draws away (36%) and the fact that the hosts fail to score in 43% of their home games. Considering the even form, similar xG statistics, and the defensive approach of both sides, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tamworth | Hartlepool United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hartlepool United is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.4 pts / match - Hartlepool United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tamworth is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.07 goals / match - Hartlepool United
Hartlepool United is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Tamworth · 0.97 goals / match - Hartlepool United
Tamworth scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Hartlepool United keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 matches).
Hartlepool United scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tamworth
Over / Under - Hartlepool United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartlepool United is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.2 pts / match - Hartlepool United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hartlepool United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tamworth
Hartlepool United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Tamworth | Liga | Hartlepool United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.86 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 55% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tamworth 0 - 1 - 0 Hartlepool United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tamworth vs Hartlepool United?
The National League match finished Tamworth 1:1 Hartlepool United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Hartlepool United?
Tamworth score 1.18 goals per game on average and Hartlepool United 1.07. The National League average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Tamworth's matches and 40% of Hartlepool United's.
What form are Tamworth and Hartlepool United in?
Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hartlepool United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Hartlepool United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tamworth vs Hartlepool United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.