Tamworth vs Southend United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tamworth played Southend United in National League (England). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Tamworth: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Southend United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tamworth scores 1.23 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Southend United scores 1.60 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tamworth 73%, Southend United 45%. Over 2.5: Tamworth 59%, Southend United 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Southend United has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.48. Tamworth: 11.2 shots per match, Southend United: 15.8.

Match halves

Tamworth: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64. Southend United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Tamworth: 76-90+ (7 goals). Southend United: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
TamworthSouthend United
10Shots22
TamworthSouthend United
4Shots on target7
TamworthSouthend United
1.54xG2.59
TamworthSouthend United
5Corners5
TamworthSouthend United
87Dangerous attacks100
TamworthSouthend United
-1Fouls-1
TamworthSouthend United
1Cards1
TamworthSouthend United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TamworthSouthend United
1.23Goals scored / match1.6
TamworthSouthend United
1.59Goals conceded / match0.8
TamworthSouthend United
39%Average possession54%
TamworthSouthend United
4.18Shots on target / match5.55
TamworthSouthend United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.18Shots per match15.75
TamworthSouthend United
4.18Shots on target5.55
TamworthSouthend United
11%Shot conversion10.2%
TamworthSouthend United
39%Possession54%
TamworthSouthend United
1.48xG for1.86
TamworthSouthend United
1.72xG against1.21
TamworthSouthend United

Shooting quality

Tamworth: BalancedSouthend United: Attacking
TamworthSouthend United
Accuracy (shots on target)37%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Southend United is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.4 pts / match - Southend United

Tamworth
LWLLL
Season result split
36% W18% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-10
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-4
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
DDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 2.69BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Southend United
DLWWL
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-5
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.04Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Southend United is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.23 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.6 goals / match - Southend United

Southend United is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.59 goals / match - Tamworth · 0.8 goals / match - Southend United

Tamworth scoring profile: strong

Tamworth scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).

Southend United scoring profile: very strong

Southend United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).

27Goals scored (season)32
TamworthSouthend United
35Goals conceded (season)16
TamworthSouthend United
2.82Average goals in match2.4
TamworthSouthend United
7Goals scored (last 5)7
TamworthSouthend United
12Goals conceded (last 5)5
TamworthSouthend United

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal90%
TamworthSouthend United
32%2 goals45%
TamworthSouthend United
5%3 goals25%
TamworthSouthend United
0%4 goals0%
TamworthSouthend United

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal50%
TamworthSouthend United
45%2 goals25%
TamworthSouthend United
18%3 goals5%
TamworthSouthend United
9%4 goals0%
TamworthSouthend United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time10%
TamworthSouthend United
5%BTTS in both halves5%
TamworthSouthend United
18%Scored in both halves40%
TamworthSouthend United

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
TamworthSouthend United
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
TamworthSouthend United
100%BTTS - last 560%
TamworthSouthend United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
TamworthSouthend United
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
TamworthSouthend United
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
TamworthSouthend United

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
TamworthSouthend United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
TamworthSouthend United
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
TamworthSouthend United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Southend United is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.05 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.75 pts / match - Southend United

Tamworth - half-time state
18% leading50% draw32% trailing
Southend United - half-time state
40% leading55% draw5% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.05Points per match (1st half)1.75
TamworthSouthend United
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.6
TamworthSouthend United
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.15
TamworthSouthend United
1.27Average goals (1st half)0.75
TamworthSouthend United
45%Clean sheet before half-time90%
TamworthSouthend United
55%No goal before half-time50%
TamworthSouthend United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)1.65
TamworthSouthend United
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)1
TamworthSouthend United
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
TamworthSouthend United
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.65
TamworthSouthend United
36%Clean sheet after half-time55%
TamworthSouthend United
41%No goal after half-time20%
TamworthSouthend United

Tamworth - second-half results

23% W45% D32% L
23
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Southend United - second-half results

45% W30% D25% L
35
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tamworth - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 4
Southend United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tamworth
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
5
16-30
5
8
31-45
2
9
46-60
5
5
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Southend United
ScoredConceded
5
0
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
5
61-75
14
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.61
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tamworth

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Southend United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

TamworthLigaSouthend United
Average goals in match 2.822.81 2.40
Both teams scored 73%54% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%53% 50%
Clean sheets 14%25% 50%
Goal before half-time 68%70% 50%
Goal after half-time 82%81% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.81
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Southend UnitedYellow cardJoshua James Walker
  2. Southend UnitedGoalOliver CokerAssist: Joshua James Walker
  3. TamworthGoalRonan Maher
  4. TamworthSubstitutionOn: Beck-Ray EnoruOff: Tom Tonks
  5. TamworthSubstitutionOn: Stefan MolsOff: Daniel James Creaney
  6. Southend UnitedSubstitutionOn: Slavi SpasovOff: Joshua James Walker
  7. Southend UnitedSubstitutionOn: Jack BridgeOff: Oliver Coker
  8. Southend UnitedSubstitutionOn: Charley KendallOff: Harry Cardwell
  9. Southend UnitedSubstitutionOn: Tom HopperOff: James Morton
  10. TamworthYellow cardStefan Mols

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Harrison BlairMatches officiated: 10
4.3Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins20%Draws40%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Tamworth 0 - 0 - 1 Southend United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Southend United FC
2 : 0
Tamworth FC

FAQ

What was the result of Tamworth vs Southend United?

The National League match finished Tamworth 2:1 Southend United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Southend United?

Tamworth score 1.23 goals per game on average and Southend United 1.60. The National League average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Tamworth's matches and 45% of Southend United's.

What form are Tamworth and Southend United in?

Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Southend United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Southend United?

The statistical background for Tamworth vs Southend United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.