Tapatío vs Cancún: match statistics
Tapatío presents significantly better home form with 60% victories and an impressive average of 2.3 goals per match at home, confirmed by a positive goal difference of +10. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 meetings, scoring 10 goals, which attests to the team's offensive strength. Cancún, despite a better overall record (12 victories), performs much worse away – just 45% wins and only 1.09 goals scored on average per away match. The visitors also have form issues, earning only 1.4 points per match in their last five outings. Tapatío's advantage in possession (48% vs 38%) and significantly higher scoring efficiency (16% vs 11%) further speak for the hosts, although Cancún's solid defense (36% clean sheets away) may make this a tight encounter.
Tapatío vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tapatío played Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tapatío: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Cancún: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tapatío scores 1.71 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.61 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tapatío 62%, Cancún 43%. Over 2.5: Tapatío 62%, Cancún 43%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Cancún has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.43. Tapatío: 11.9 shots per match, Cancún: 11.8.
Match halves
Tapatío: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.81. Cancún: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Tapatío: 76-90+ (10 goals). Cancún: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tapatío presents significantly better home form with 60% victories and an impressive average of 2.3 goals per match at home, confirmed by a positive goal difference of +10. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 meetings, scoring 10 goals, which attests to the team's offensive strength. Cancún, despite a better overall record (12 victories), performs much worse away – just 45% wins and only 1.09 goals scored on average per away match. The visitors also have form issues, earning only 1.4 points per match in their last five outings. Tapatío's advantage in possession (48% vs 38%) and significantly higher scoring efficiency (16% vs 11%) further speak for the hosts, although Cancún's solid defense (36% clean sheets away) may make this a tight encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tapatío | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tapatío is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Tapatío · 1.4 pts / match - Cancún
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tapatío is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Tapatío · 1.61 goals / match - Cancún
Cancún is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Tapatío · 0.83 goals / match - Cancún
Tapatío scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
Cancún scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tapatío
Over / Under - Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tapatío
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tapatío | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tapatío 0 - 0 - 1 Cancún. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tapatío vs Cancún?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tapatío 1:2 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tapatío vs Cancún?
Tapatío score 1.71 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.61. The Ascenso MX average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Tapatío's matches and 43% of Cancún's.
What form are Tapatío and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Tapatío have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cancún 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tapatío vs Cancún?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.