Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: match statistics
Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tapatío played Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 20 September 2026. Venue: Estadio AKRON. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Tapatío: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tlaxcala: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tapatío scores 1.63 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Tlaxcala scores 1.75 and concedes 2.13. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tapatío 75%, Tlaxcala 88%. Over 2.5: Tapatío 63%, Tlaxcala 75%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Tapatío has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.28. Tapatío: 12.1 shots per match, Tlaxcala: 9.9.
Match halves
Tapatío: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Tlaxcala: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Tapatío: 76-90+ (4 goals). Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tapatío have the clear home advantage: they have won 50% of their home matches, while Tlaxcala are still without an away victory, drawing 50% and losing 50% of their matches on the road. Both teams average 1.5 goals scored at home and away, respectively, but the visitors concede as many as 2.25 goals per match away from home and have kept no clean sheets there. Tapatío have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, but their defense has conceded 11, meaning Tlaxcala, who have found the net 11 times during this period, should have their chances. However, the hosts create slightly higher-quality opportunities, with an average xG of 1.38 compared to the visitors’ 1.07, while also registering more shots per match, 12.75 to 8.25. Tapatío’s greater home stability and Tlaxcala’s poor away defense point towards a narrow home win, although a draw remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is very strong: Tapatío has recorded BTTS in 75% of its matches this season, while Tlaxcala has done so in as many as 100%. In their last five matches, both teams recorded BTTS in all 5 of 5 fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded for the hosts, and 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded for the visitors. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, while Tlaxcala has not played a single match this season without scoring. Their attacking potential is confirmed by the latest xG figures: 1.43 for Tapatío and 1.41 for Tlaxcala, while both defenses allowed 1.71 and 1.45 xG respectively. BTTS - Yes is clearly more likely than the league average of 57%, especially as 75% of each side’s matches featured at least three goals with both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a very clear goals profile: 100% of their matches this season have ended with at least two goals. Tapatío average 2.0 goals scored, while Tlaxcala concede 2.25; meanwhile, the visitors score 1.5 goals per game, compared with 2.0 goals conceded by the hosts. Across their last five matches, both teams averaged 4.2 and 3.8 total goals respectively, with both teams scoring in 100% of those games. The xG model projects 1.55 goals for Tapatío and 1.34 for Tlaxcala, for a combined total of 2.89, supporting a minimum of two goals. The strongest option is Over 1.5 goals, as it combines both teams’ perfect record for this line with their consistent tendency to concede goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Tapatío win is the most likely outcome, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 2 of their 4 home matches, while both teams average 1.25 goals in the first half. Tlaxcala can start strongly, leading at the break in 50% of their away matches, but they have not won any of those games at full time. After the break, Tapatío score an average of 1.5 goals at home and win the second half in 50% of their matches, whereas Tlaxcala concede as many as 1.75 goals during that period and have not recorded a single victory. The hosts' post-half-time advantage is also supported by the quality of chances: their average xG is 1.49 compared with 1.07 for the visitors, while Tlaxcala's defence allows an xG of 1.48. Both teams play open matches, averaging 4.0 total goals in Tapatío games and 3.75 in Tlaxcala games, which is why a later outcome in favour of the hosts has the strongest basis.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tapatío | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tlaxcala is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tapatío · 1.6 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tlaxcala is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Tapatío · 1.75 goals / match - Tlaxcala
Tapatío is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Tapatío · 2.13 goals / match - Tlaxcala
Tapatío scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
Tlaxcala scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tapatío
Over / Under - Tlaxcala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tlaxcala is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Tapatío · 1.38 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tapatío
Tlaxcala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tapatío | Liga | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 56% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tapatío 1 - 0 - 1 Tlaxcala. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tapatío 4:0 Tlaxcala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tapatío and Tlaxcala?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 1, Tlaxcala won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?
Tapatío score 1.63 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.75. The Ascenso MX average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Tapatío's matches and 88% of Tlaxcala's.
What form are Tapatío and Tlaxcala in?
Over the last 5 games Tapatío have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tlaxcala 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.