Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio AKRONData current as of 18 September 2026

Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tapatío play Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Estadio AKRON.

Current form

Tapatío: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tlaxcala: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tapatío scores 1.63 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Tlaxcala scores 1.75 and concedes 2.13. League average: 3.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tapatío 75%, Tlaxcala 88%. Over 2.5: Tapatío 63%, Tlaxcala 75%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Tapatío has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.28. Tapatío: 12.1 shots per match, Tlaxcala: 9.9.

Match halves

Tapatío: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Tlaxcala: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.13.

Goals by minute

Tapatío: 76-90+ (4 goals). Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.63Goals scored / match1.75
TapatíoTlaxcala
1.75Goals conceded / match2.13
TapatíoTlaxcala
48%Average possession44%
TapatíoTlaxcala
4.25Shots on target / match3.63
TapatíoTlaxcala

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.13Shots per match9.88
TapatíoTlaxcala
4.25Shots on target3.63
TapatíoTlaxcala
13.4%Shot conversion17.7%
TapatíoTlaxcala
48%Possession44%
TapatíoTlaxcala
1.38xG for1.28
TapatíoTlaxcala
1.69xG against1.44
TapatíoTlaxcala

Shooting quality

Tapatío: Efficient finishingTlaxcala: Counter-attacking
TapatíoTlaxcala
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tlaxcala is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Tapatío · 1.6 pts / match - Tlaxcala

Tapatío
WWDLL
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-3
1.38 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
DWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Tlaxcala
DLWDW
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
LDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tlaxcala is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - Tapatío · 1.75 goals / match - Tlaxcala

Tapatío is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - Tapatío · 2.13 goals / match - Tlaxcala

Tapatío scoring profile: very strong

Tapatío scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

Tlaxcala scoring profile: very strong

Tlaxcala scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

13Goals scored (season)14
TapatíoTlaxcala
14Goals conceded (season)17
TapatíoTlaxcala
3.38Average goals in match3.88
TapatíoTlaxcala
10Goals scored (last 5)11
TapatíoTlaxcala
11Goals conceded (last 5)8
TapatíoTlaxcala

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal88%
TapatíoTlaxcala
38%2 goals63%
TapatíoTlaxcala
25%3 goals25%
TapatíoTlaxcala
13%4 goals0%
TapatíoTlaxcala

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal100%
TapatíoTlaxcala
63%2 goals63%
TapatíoTlaxcala
38%3 goals38%
TapatíoTlaxcala
0%4 goals13%
TapatíoTlaxcala

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time13%
TapatíoTlaxcala
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TapatíoTlaxcala
25%Scored in both halves25%
TapatíoTlaxcala

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
TapatíoTlaxcala
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TapatíoTlaxcala
100%BTTS - last 5100%
TapatíoTlaxcala

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
TapatíoTlaxcala
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
TapatíoTlaxcala
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
TapatíoTlaxcala

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
TapatíoTlaxcala
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time88%
TapatíoTlaxcala
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
TapatíoTlaxcala

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tlaxcala is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Tapatío · 1.38 pts / match - Tlaxcala

Tapatío - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing
Tlaxcala - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.38
TapatíoTlaxcala
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.63
TapatíoTlaxcala
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
TapatíoTlaxcala
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.25
TapatíoTlaxcala
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
TapatíoTlaxcala
50%No goal before half-time50%
TapatíoTlaxcala

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1
TapatíoTlaxcala
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
TapatíoTlaxcala
1.13Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
TapatíoTlaxcala
2.13Average goals (2nd half)2.63
TapatíoTlaxcala
38%Clean sheet after half-time13%
TapatíoTlaxcala
38%No goal after half-time38%
TapatíoTlaxcala

Tapatío - second-half results

13% W63% D25% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tlaxcala - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tapatío - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Tlaxcala - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tapatío
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Tlaxcala
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
82%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tapatío

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Tlaxcala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

TapatíoLigaTlaxcala
Average goals in match 3.383.28 3.88
Both teams scored 75%57% 88%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%60% 75%
Clean sheets 25%24% 0%
Goal before half-time 75%78% 88%
Goal after half-time 75%77% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.28
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.95
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
37%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Tapatío 1 - 0 - 1 Tlaxcala. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

CD Tapatío
3 : 0
Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC
1 : 0
CD Tapatío

FAQ

When do Tapatío and Tlaxcala play?

Tapatío face Tlaxcala on 20 September 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio AKRON. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tapatío and Tlaxcala?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 1, Tlaxcala won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?

Tapatío score 1.63 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.75. The Ascenso MX average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Tapatío's matches and 88% of Tlaxcala's.

What form are Tapatío and Tlaxcala in?

Over the last 5 games Tapatío have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tlaxcala 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.