Tapatío vs Venados: match statistics
Tapatío demonstrates significantly better form at home, winning 43% of home matches and conceding just 1.43 goals per match, evidencing a solid defense. Venados performs very poorly away, losing as many as 71% of their games and recording zero draws, pointing to a lack of stability on the road. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match and concede an average of 2.43 goals per game, constituting their biggest weakness. Tapatío's positive goal difference at home (+4) compared to Venados' negative away record (-5) confirms the hosts' advantage. Although both teams share similar possession stats (48%), Tapatío's efficiency in home conditions and Venados' defensive issues on their travels favor a home victory.
Tapatío vs Venados: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tapatío played Venados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 16 January 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Tapatío: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Venados: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tapatío scores 1.47 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Venados scores 2.20 and concedes 2.07. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tapatío 60%, Venados 67%. Over 2.5: Tapatío 60%, Venados 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Venados has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.46. Tapatío: 12.3 shots per match, Venados: 12.6.
Match halves
Tapatío: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Venados: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Tapatío: 76-90+ (6 goals). Venados: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tapatío demonstrates significantly better form at home, winning 43% of home matches and conceding just 1.43 goals per match, evidencing a solid defense. Venados performs very poorly away, losing as many as 71% of their games and recording zero draws, pointing to a lack of stability on the road. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match and concede an average of 2.43 goals per game, constituting their biggest weakness. Tapatío's positive goal difference at home (+4) compared to Venados' negative away record (-5) confirms the hosts' advantage. Although both teams share similar possession stats (48%), Tapatío's efficiency in home conditions and Venados' defensive issues on their travels favor a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tapatío | Venados | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Venados is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Tapatío · 1.4 pts / match - Venados
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Tapatío · 2.2 goals / match - Venados
Tapatío is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Tapatío · 2.07 goals / match - Venados
Tapatío scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).
Venados scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tapatío
Over / Under - Venados
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tapatío is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Tapatío · 1.4 pts / match - Venados
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Venados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tapatío
Venados
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tapatío | Liga | Venados | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 2.97 | ▲ 4.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tapatío 1 - 0 - 0 Venados. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tapatío vs Venados?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tapatío 4:2 Venados. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tapatío vs Venados?
Tapatío score 1.47 goals per game on average and Venados 2.20. The Ascenso MX average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Tapatío's matches and 67% of Venados's.
What form are Tapatío and Venados in?
Over the last 5 games Tapatío have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Venados 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tapatío vs Venados?
The statistical background for Tapatío vs Venados — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.