Telstar vs Ajax: match statistics
Ajax is the overwhelming favorite for this encounter, sitting 3rd in the table compared to Telstar's 15th position. The visitors are in superb form, securing four wins in their last five matches with a goal difference of 19:6, whereas Telstar has managed only two wins with a modest 9:6 record. Ajax has been clinically consistent on the road (0% FTS%), averaging 2.13 goals per match, while Telstar concedes an average of 2.11 goals at home and has failed to keep a single clean sheet. Ajax's significant dominance in possession (57% vs 46%) and superior shot conversion rate (15% vs 11%) further support an away victory. The sole risk factor is Ajax's tendency for away draws (63%), but their current momentum and qualitative edge point to a decisive win.
Telstar vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Telstar played Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Telstar: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ajax: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Telstar scores 1.18 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Ajax scores 1.88 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Telstar 59%, Ajax 71%. Over 2.5: Telstar 47%, Ajax 59%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Ajax has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.46. Telstar: 13.2 shots per match, Ajax: 14.8.
Match halves
Telstar: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.59. Ajax: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Telstar: 31-45+ (5 goals). Ajax: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ajax is the overwhelming favorite for this encounter, sitting 3rd in the table compared to Telstar's 15th position. The visitors are in superb form, securing four wins in their last five matches with a goal difference of 19:6, whereas Telstar has managed only two wins with a modest 9:6 record. Ajax has been clinically consistent on the road (0% FTS%), averaging 2.13 goals per match, while Telstar concedes an average of 2.11 goals at home and has failed to keep a single clean sheet. Ajax's significant dominance in possession (57% vs 46%) and superior shot conversion rate (15% vs 11%) further support an away victory. The sole risk factor is Ajax's tendency for away draws (63%), but their current momentum and qualitative edge point to a decisive win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Telstar | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ajax is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Telstar · 2 pts / match - Ajax
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Telstar · 1.88 goals / match - Ajax
Ajax is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Telstar · 1.29 goals / match - Ajax
Telstar scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Ajax scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Telstar keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Telstar
Over / Under - Ajax
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Telstar · 1.53 pts / match - Ajax
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Telstar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Telstar
Ajax
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Telstar | Liga | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.76 | 3.24 | • 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 62% | ▼ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 20% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Telstar 0 - 0 - 1 Ajax. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Telstar vs Ajax?
The Eredivisie match finished Telstar 2:3 Ajax. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Telstar vs Ajax?
Telstar score 1.18 goals per game on average and Ajax 1.88. The Eredivisie average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Telstar's matches and 71% of Ajax's.
What form are Telstar and Ajax in?
Over the last 5 games Telstar have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ajax 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Telstar vs Ajax?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.