Telstar vs NAC Breda: match statistics
Analysis of the statistics indicates very even chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Telstar occupies 17th place in the table with only an 8% win rate at home, but in the last 5 matches overall, they earn 1 point per match, similar to NAC Breda (1.6 points). NAC Breda presents weak form on the road with 45% of matches without a goal scored and only 9% wins, although their overall recent form is better (2 wins in the last 5 matches). Both teams have similar xG indicators, possession (45-46%), and negative goal differences in their matches. Telstar scores an average of 1.5 goals at home, while NAC scores only 0.91 goals away, suggesting a low probability of a high score. Considering Telstar's high rate of draws at home (42%) and NAC's difficulties in scoring goals on the road, a draw seems the most probable result of this meeting between two teams from the lower part of the table.
Telstar vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Telstar played NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Telstar: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. NAC Breda: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Telstar scores 1.17 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 1.04 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Telstar 67%, NAC Breda 50%. Over 2.5: Telstar 50%, NAC Breda 50%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
NAC Breda has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.42. Telstar: 12.8 shots per match, NAC Breda: 13.6.
Match halves
Telstar: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.67. NAC Breda: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Telstar: 76-90+ (7 goals). NAC Breda: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Analysis of the statistics indicates very even chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Telstar occupies 17th place in the table with only an 8% win rate at home, but in the last 5 matches overall, they earn 1 point per match, similar to NAC Breda (1.6 points). NAC Breda presents weak form on the road with 45% of matches without a goal scored and only 9% wins, although their overall recent form is better (2 wins in the last 5 matches). Both teams have similar xG indicators, possession (45-46%), and negative goal differences in their matches. Telstar scores an average of 1.5 goals at home, while NAC scores only 0.91 goals away, suggesting a low probability of a high score. Considering Telstar's high rate of draws at home (42%) and NAC's difficulties in scoring goals on the road, a draw seems the most probable result of this meeting between two teams from the lower part of the table.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Telstar | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NAC Breda is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Telstar · 1.6 pts / match - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Telstar is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Telstar · 1.04 goals / match - NAC Breda
NAC Breda is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Telstar · 1.5 goals / match - NAC Breda
Telstar scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
NAC Breda scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Telstar keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Telstar
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Telstar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Telstar
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Telstar | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.88 | 3.21 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 18% | • 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Telstar 1 - 0 - 0 NAC Breda. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Telstar vs NAC Breda?
The Eredivisie match finished Telstar 3:0 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Telstar vs NAC Breda?
Telstar score 1.17 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.04. The Eredivisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Telstar's matches and 50% of NAC Breda's.
What form are Telstar and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games Telstar have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and NAC Breda 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Telstar vs NAC Breda?
The statistical background for Telstar vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.