Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante: match statistics
Atlante presents significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors have won 9 of 16 matches, scoring 36 goals while conceding just 12, resulting in an impressive goal difference of +24. In away matches, Atlante wins half their games (50% Win%), keeping a clean sheet in half of those instances and averaging 2.13 goals per match. Tepatitlán de Morelos is in poor form, especially in the last five matches (PPG: 0.8), losing three of them. The hosts win only 33% of home games and are on a negative run. Atlante's advantage in possession (61% vs 52%), higher shot conversion (18% vs 7%), and superior xG statistics further confirm their dominance. All these factors point to a clear advantage for the visitors and a probable victory for Atlante in this clash.
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tepatitlán de Morelos played Atlante in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Atlante: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.28 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Atlante scores 2.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 56%, Atlante 38%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 39%, Atlante 56%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Atlante has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.67. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 14.7 shots per match, Atlante: 15.4.
Match halves
Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.67. Atlante: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 76-90+ (8 goals). Atlante: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlante presents significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors have won 9 of 16 matches, scoring 36 goals while conceding just 12, resulting in an impressive goal difference of +24. In away matches, Atlante wins half their games (50% Win%), keeping a clean sheet in half of those instances and averaging 2.13 goals per match. Tepatitlán de Morelos is in poor form, especially in the last five matches (PPG: 0.8), losing three of them. The hosts win only 33% of home games and are on a negative run. Atlante's advantage in possession (61% vs 52%), higher shot conversion (18% vs 7%), and superior xG statistics further confirm their dominance. All these factors point to a clear advantage for the visitors and a probable victory for Atlante in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlante is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.6 pts / match - Atlante
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlante is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 2.25 goals / match - Atlante
Atlante is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 0.75 goals / match - Atlante
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
Atlante scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over / Under - Atlante
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlante is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.63 pts / match - Atlante
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Atlante
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Liga | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.95 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 57% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Tepatitlán de MorelosYellow cardJesús Allan Moreno Villegas
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Tepatitlán de Morelos 1 - 2 - 0 Atlante. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:1 Atlante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 1, Atlante won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?
Tepatitlán de Morelos score 1.28 goals per game on average and Atlante 2.25. The Ascenso MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 38% of Atlante's.
What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante in?
Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlante 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.