Terengganu vs Selangor: match statistics

Selangor come into this fixture in significantly stronger current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring as many as 20 goals and conceding just 2, while Terengganu have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, conceding 7 goals. The visitors create more chances, averaging 21 shots and 7 on target per away match, compared with Terengganu’s 10 shots and 5 on target. Their average xG stands at 2.38, well above the hosts’ 1.40, confirming Selangor’s superiority in the quality of chances created. Terengganu have defended very effectively at home so far, keeping a clean sheet with an xG against of 0.43, but this comes from just one match and they now face an attack averaging 4 goals away from home. Both teams won their only previous matches in the respective roles, but Selangor’s attacking momentum and more solid defensive record across their last five appearances tip the balance in the visitors’ favour.

Selangor are in very strong attacking form, averaging 4.0 goals scored across their last 5 matches with an xG of 1.99, making them highly likely to score. At the same time, they have conceded just 2 goals over the same period, or 0.4 per match, while their average xG conceded to opponents is only 0.94. BTTS - Yes occurred in just 20% of Selangor’s last five matches, compared with the low league market rate of 25%, supporting a scenario in which at least one team fails to score. Terengganu have recently averaged 1.6 goals and recorded a 60% BTTS rate, but their xG of 1.34 is clearly below the quality of the visitors’ defensive record. Therefore, it is slightly more likely that the hosts will fail to beat Selangor’s goalkeeper, supporting BTTS - No.

Selangor are in excellent attacking form: they have scored 20 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 4.0 per game, with an xG of 1.99. Over the same period, Terengganu averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while their average xG against stands at 1.41, which favours further chances for the visitors. At least 3 goals were scored in 4 of the teams’ last 5 matches, while the league average is 3.0 goals per game. Selangor have surpassed the 1.5-goal threshold in every available league match this season, making Over 1.5 the market with by far the strongest statistical support. The 2.5 line also looks positive, but Selangor’s solid defence, conceding only 0.4 goals on average in their last 5 fixtures, reduces confidence in higher goal lines.

The strongest scenario is for Selangor to lead at the break and maintain their advantage through to the final whistle, as the visitors were ahead at half-time in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Terengganu. Selangor averaged 2.4 goals before the break, twice as many as the hosts’ 1.2, while conceding just 0.2 goals. Across their last five matches, the visitors scored an average of 4.0 goals and allowed opponents only 0.4, whereas Terengganu recorded figures of 1.6 and 1.4 respectively. The difference is also reflected in their second-half performance: Selangor won the second half in 80% of those matches and averaged 1.6 goals after the interval, while the hosts lost the second half in 60% of cases. Terengganu can point to leading at half-time in 60% of their last five outings, but Selangor’s superior attacking quality and significantly more stable defence support the 2/2 HT/FT pick.