Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi: match statistics
Neftchi presents decidedly better form and table position (2nd place) compared to Termez Surkhon (14th place). The visitors won their only match of the season, keeping a clean sheet (3:0), while the hosts lost their meeting (1:3). Analysis of the last five matches confirms Neftchi's advantage—2.0 points per match and a goal difference of 10:5, whereas Termez obtained only 1.4 points per match with a 4:5 balance. The visitors' form (wdwlw) with three victories is clearly superior to the hosts' form (lwdwl) with two wins. The difference in offensive and defensive efficiency of both teams argues for a win for Neftchi on the road.
Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Termez Surkhon play Neftchi in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 5 March 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Termez Surkhon: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Neftchi: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Termez Surkhon scores 1.08 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Neftchi scores 2.46 and concedes 0.38. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Termez Surkhon 62%, Neftchi 31%. Over 2.5: Termez Surkhon 54%, Neftchi 69%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.25. Termez Surkhon: 11.6 shots per match, Neftchi: 16.2.
Match halves
Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77. Neftchi: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.31.
Goals by minute
Termez Surkhon: 76-90+ (7 goals). Neftchi: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Neftchi presents decidedly better form and table position (2nd place) compared to Termez Surkhon (14th place). The visitors won their only match of the season, keeping a clean sheet (3:0), while the hosts lost their meeting (1:3). Analysis of the last five matches confirms Neftchi's advantage—2.0 points per match and a goal difference of 10:5, whereas Termez obtained only 1.4 points per match with a 4:5 balance. The visitors' form (wdwlw) with three victories is clearly superior to the hosts' form (lwdwl) with two wins. The difference in offensive and defensive efficiency of both teams argues for a win for Neftchi on the road.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Termez Surkhon | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Termez Surkhon · 2.6 pts / match - Neftchi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 128% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Termez Surkhon · 2.46 goals / match - Neftchi
Neftchi is 326% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Termez Surkhon · 0.38 goals / match - Neftchi
Termez Surkhon scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 matches).
Neftchi scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Termez Surkhon
Over / Under — Neftchi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 145% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Termez Surkhon · 2.08 pts / match - Neftchi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 85%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Termez Surkhon
Neftchi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Termez Surkhon | Liga | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.69 | 2.63 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 53% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 69% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Termez Surkhon 0 - 1 - 1 Neftchi. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Termez Surkhon 0:3 Neftchi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Termez Surkhon and Neftchi?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Termez Surkhon won 0, Neftchi won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi?
Termez Surkhon score 1.08 goals per game on average and Neftchi 2.46. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Termez Surkhon's matches and 31% of Neftchi's.
What form are Termez Surkhon and Neftchi in?
Over the last 5 games Termez Surkhon have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Neftchi 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi?
The statistical background for Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.