Ternana vs Forlì: match statistics
Ternana clearly dominates in this clash, particularly in terms of home form and overall effectiveness. The hosts present an impressive record of 58% matches won at home, with a positive goal difference of +5 in home matches, while Forlì has just 23% wins away and a negative balance of -9. A key factor is also the form over the last five meetings – Ternana earns an average of 2 points per match with a record of three victories, while Forlì earns just 1 point with only one victory. The xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.92 xG For vs 1.18 xG Against in home matches), which suggests a qualitative advantage. Additionally, Forlì fails to score in 46% of away matches, which, given Ternana's solid defense (33% clean sheets), could be decisive. All statistical indicators unambiguously point to Ternana as the decided favorite.
Ternana vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ternana played Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 23 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ternana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Forlì: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ternana scores 1.20 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.20 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ternana 44%, Forlì 52%. Over 2.5: Ternana 32%, Forlì 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Ternana has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.54. Ternana: 11.3 shots per match, Forlì: 11.8.
Match halves
Ternana: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72. Forlì: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Ternana: 76-90+ (7 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ternana clearly dominates in this clash, particularly in terms of home form and overall effectiveness. The hosts present an impressive record of 58% matches won at home, with a positive goal difference of +5 in home matches, while Forlì has just 23% wins away and a negative balance of -9. A key factor is also the form over the last five meetings – Ternana earns an average of 2 points per match with a record of three victories, while Forlì earns just 1 point with only one victory. The xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.92 xG For vs 1.18 xG Against in home matches), which suggests a qualitative advantage. Additionally, Forlì fails to score in 46% of away matches, which, given Ternana's solid defense (33% clean sheets), could be decisive. All statistical indicators unambiguously point to Ternana as the decided favorite.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ternana | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ternana is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Ternana · 1 pts / match - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ternana is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Ternana · 1.44 goals / match - Forlì
Ternana scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Forlì scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ternana
Over / Under - Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ternana is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Ternana · 1.2 pts / match - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ternana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ternana
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Ternana | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 38% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ternana 0 - 1 - 0 Forlì. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ternana vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Ternana 2:1 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ternana vs Forlì?
Ternana score 1.20 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.20. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ternana's matches and 52% of Forlì's.
What form are Ternana and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Ternana have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Forlì 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ternana vs Forlì?
The statistical background for Ternana vs Forlì — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.