Ternana vs Gubbio: match statistics
Ternana are in significantly better form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and collecting an impressive 2.4 points per game on average. The hosts are very effective at home, winning 57% of their home games and averaging 1.43 goals per match, with only 14% of their home fixtures ending without a goal. Gubbio, despite decent recent form, struggles to score away from home (43% of away matches without a goal, averaging only 0.71 goals per game), making them a relatively non-threatening attacking force. Furthermore, xG statistics highlight Ternana's superiority (1.91 xG For vs Gubbio's 1.18 xG For away), confirming the qualitative difference between the sides. Considering all factors, Ternana should capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points, although Gubbio's solid defense (36% clean sheets away) could make this a closely contested match.
Ternana vs Gubbio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ternana played Gubbio in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ternana: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Gubbio: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ternana scores 1.29 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Gubbio scores 0.86 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ternana 50%, Gubbio 36%. Over 2.5: Ternana 39%, Gubbio 11%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Ternana has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.19. Ternana: 11.6 shots per match, Gubbio: 9.2.
Match halves
Ternana: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.71. Gubbio: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Ternana: 61-75 (7 goals). Gubbio: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ternana are in significantly better form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and collecting an impressive 2.4 points per game on average. The hosts are very effective at home, winning 57% of their home games and averaging 1.43 goals per match, with only 14% of their home fixtures ending without a goal. Gubbio, despite decent recent form, struggles to score away from home (43% of away matches without a goal, averaging only 0.71 goals per game), making them a relatively non-threatening attacking force. Furthermore, xG statistics highlight Ternana's superiority (1.91 xG For vs Gubbio's 1.18 xG For away), confirming the qualitative difference between the sides. Considering all factors, Ternana should capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points, although Gubbio's solid defense (36% clean sheets away) could make this a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ternana | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ternana is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Ternana · 2 pts / match - Gubbio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ternana is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Ternana · 0.86 goals / match - Gubbio
Gubbio is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Ternana · 0.75 goals / match - Gubbio
Ternana scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
Gubbio scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ternana
Over / Under - Gubbio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ternana is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Ternana · 1.21 pts / match - Gubbio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ternana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ternana
Gubbio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Ternana | Liga | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.29 | 2.26 | ▼ 1.61 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 39% | 39% | ▼ 11% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 30% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ternana 0 - 1 - 0 Gubbio. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ternana vs Gubbio?
The Serie C Group B match finished Ternana 0:1 Gubbio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ternana vs Gubbio?
Ternana score 1.29 goals per game on average and Gubbio 0.86. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ternana's matches and 36% of Gubbio's.
What form are Ternana and Gubbio in?
Over the last 5 games Ternana have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Gubbio 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ternana vs Gubbio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ternana vs Gubbio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.