Teuta Durrës vs Tirana: match statistics
Teuta Durrës vs Tirana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Teuta Durrës played Tirana in Superliga (Albania). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Teuta Durrës: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Tirana: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Teuta Durrës scores 0.85 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Tirana scores 0.94 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Teuta Durrës 45%, Tirana 52%. Over 2.5: Teuta Durrës 27%, Tirana 30%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Teuta Durrës has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.13. Teuta Durrës: 9.4 shots per match, Tirana: 8.3.
Match halves
Teuta Durrës: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42. Tirana: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Teuta Durrës: 31-45+ (7 goals). Tirana: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Recent form favors the visitors: Teuta in their last 5 matches has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, only 1 point — averaging 0.2 points per game — scoring 3 and conceding 8; Tirana in their last 5 has 3 wins and 2 draws, 11 points — averaging 2.2 points per game — 10 scored and 4 conceded. At home Teuta averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.06 conceded, xG 1.20 vs xG against 0.96, 9.44 shots and 2.94 on target and 51% possession, while Tirana away averages 1.00 goal scored and 1.56 conceded, xG 1.03 vs xG against 1.78, 7.19 shots and 2.81 on target and 45% possession. Key advantages: Tirana has better efficiency (conversion rate 14% vs Teuta 11%) and form (10 goals in 5 matches), while Teuta has a more stable home defence (1.06 goals conceded on average and lower xG against 0.96) and higher possession. Considering Teuta’s high home draw rate (50% draws) and their poor run of 0–1–4 in the last 5 matches combined with Tirana’s attacking momentum, I expect an even game with a tilt toward a draw; probability distribution: draw 45%, away win 35%, home win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Main signals point to BTTS - Yes: Tirana has a season BTTS rate of 63% and as high as 80% in the last 5 matches, while Teuta has 41% seasonally and 40% in the last five. Tirana scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per match) and has recent xG of 1.4, whereas Teuta scored 3 goals in the same period (0.6 per match) with xG 1.22 — this shows Tirana is the primary source of goals, but Teuta is creating chances. Defensively, Teuta conceded on average 1.6 goals in the last 5 matches and 1.18 for the season, and Tirana concedes 1.56 per season (last 5: 0.8), suggesting both teams are susceptible to conceding. xG analysis also shows both sides have scoring potential: Teuta xG_for 1.22 versus Tirana xG_against 1.78 and Tirana xG_for 1.03 versus Teuta xG_against 1.52 — both pairs fall within ranges where goals on both sides are to be expected. Considering Tirana's strong signal (63%/80%) and the above xG and goals-conceded differences, I predict BTTS - Yes with a 60% probability versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculate expected goals of 1.08 for Teuta and 1.24 for Tirana, totaling 2.32 goals. This projection uses xG: Teuta xG_for 1.22 and Tirana xG_for 1.03, and opponents’ defensive xG of 1.78 (Tirana) and 1.52 (Teuta), then I adjusted outputs by season conversion rates (Teuta 0.88/1.22≈0.72, Tirana 1.00/1.03≈0.97). Based on this, I estimate the probability of Over 1.5 goals at about 68% — season-long Over1.5 occurs 65% for home teams and 81% for away teams, and the combined xG=2.32 corresponds to roughly a 67% chance of at least 2 goals. The 2.5 line is closer to balanced: season Over2.5 is only 29% (Teuta) and 31% (Tirana), but in the last 5 matches the away side scored 10 goals (2.0 average) and have 60% Over2.5, so I assign Over2.5 a 44% probability versus 56% Under as a moderate signal. Over 3.5 remains unlikely (20%): season Over3.5 are 12% and 25%, and the expected 2.32 goals is far from a 4-goal threshold, hence an Under recommendation on that line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 2/2 (Tirana leading at half-time and winning at full-time), because the visitors are in markedly better form: in their last 5 matches they have a 60% win rate and led at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5), whereas Teuta have 0% wins in their last 5 and only 20% leads at half-time. First-half statistics support this direction — Teuta average 0.29 goals scored by half-time and concede 0.65, while Tirana average 0.5 goals by half-time (0.5 vs 0.29). Additionally, in their last 5 matches Tirana score on average 2.0 goals per game versus Teuta’s 0.6 and have a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs the hosts’ 9%), which increases the chance of maintaining the lead. Seasonal xG slightly favors Teuta (xG 1.22 vs 1.03), but the difference is small, and the advantage in form and finishing efficiency argues for 2/2 (36% probability) with X/2 as an alternative (~10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Teuta Durrës | Tirana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tirana is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Teuta Durrës · 2.2 pts / match - Tirana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tirana is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Teuta Durrës · 0.94 goals / match - Tirana
Teuta Durrës is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Teuta Durrës · 1.36 goals / match - Tirana
Teuta Durrës scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Tirana keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
Tirana scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Teuta Durrës keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Teuta Durrës
Over / Under - Tirana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Teuta Durrës is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Teuta Durrës · 1 pts / match - Tirana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Teuta Durrës - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tirana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Teuta Durrës
Tirana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Teuta Durrës | Liga | Tirana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.85 | 2.11 | ▲ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 34% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 33% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 64% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Teuta Durrës 1 - 2 - 0 Tirana. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Teuta Durrës vs Tirana?
The Superliga match finished Teuta Durrës 0:1 Tirana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Teuta Durrës and Tirana?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Teuta Durrës won 1, Tirana won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Teuta Durrës vs Tirana?
Teuta Durrës score 0.85 goals per game on average and Tirana 0.94. The Superliga average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Teuta Durrës's matches and 52% of Tirana's.
What form are Teuta Durrës and Tirana in?
Over the last 5 games Teuta Durrës have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Tirana 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Teuta Durrës vs Tirana?
The statistical background for Teuta Durrës vs Tirana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.