Wales - Welsh Premier LeaguePark Hall StadiumData current as of 19 October 2026

The New Saints vs Ammanford: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

The New Saints vs Ammanford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

The New Saints play Ammanford in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Park Hall Stadium.

Current form

The New Saints: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Ammanford: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

The New Saints scores 3.38 and concedes 0.46 goals per match. Ammanford scores 0.77 and concedes 2.46. League average: 3.29 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: The New Saints 38%, Ammanford 46%. Over 2.5: The New Saints 62%, Ammanford 62%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

The New Saints has higher xG: 2.52 vs 0.83. The New Saints: 21.5 shots per match, Ammanford: 6.2.

Match halves

The New Saints: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.85. Ammanford: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.46.

Goals by minute

The New Saints: 61-75 (10 goals). Ammanford: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

The New SaintsAmmanford
3.38Goals scored / match0.77
The New SaintsAmmanford
0.46Goals conceded / match2.46
The New SaintsAmmanford
70%Average possession38%
The New SaintsAmmanford
10.08Shots on target / match2.54
The New SaintsAmmanford

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

21.54Shots per match6.23
The New SaintsAmmanford
10.08Shots on target2.54
The New SaintsAmmanford
15.7%Shot conversion12.3%
The New SaintsAmmanford
70%Possession38%
The New SaintsAmmanford
2.52xG for0.83
The New SaintsAmmanford
0.67xG against1.95
The New SaintsAmmanford

Shooting quality

The New Saints: DominantAmmanford: Counter-attacking
The New SaintsAmmanford
Accuracy (shots on target)47%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

The New Saints is 114% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - The New Saints · 1.4 pts / match - Ammanford

The New Saints
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
92% W8% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-1-0
2.85 pts / match · goal difference +38
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-0-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 5.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.76Opponent xG: 0.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Ammanford
DLLWW
Season result split
15% W23% D62% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-8
0.69 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

The New Saints is 339% better for: goals scored per match.

3.38 goals / match - The New Saints · 0.77 goals / match - Ammanford

The New Saints is 435% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.46 goals / match - The New Saints · 2.46 goals / match - Ammanford

The New Saints scoring profile: very strong

The New Saints scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Ammanford keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).

Ammanford scoring profile: more difficult

Ammanford scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 matches).

44Goals scored (season)10
The New SaintsAmmanford
6Goals conceded (season)32
The New SaintsAmmanford
3.85Average goals in match3.23
The New SaintsAmmanford
25Goals scored (last 5)6
The New SaintsAmmanford
3Goals conceded (last 5)11
The New SaintsAmmanford

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal54%
The New SaintsAmmanford
77%2 goals23%
The New SaintsAmmanford
54%3 goals0%
The New SaintsAmmanford
38%4 goals0%
The New SaintsAmmanford

How often they concede at least...

38%1 goal92%
The New SaintsAmmanford
8%2 goals77%
The New SaintsAmmanford
0%3 goals31%
The New SaintsAmmanford
0%4 goals23%
The New SaintsAmmanford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time15%
The New SaintsAmmanford
8%BTTS in both halves0%
The New SaintsAmmanford
62%Scored in both halves8%
The New SaintsAmmanford

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
The New SaintsAmmanford
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
The New SaintsAmmanford
60%BTTS - last 560%
The New SaintsAmmanford

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
The New SaintsAmmanford
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
The New SaintsAmmanford
38%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
The New SaintsAmmanford

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
The New SaintsAmmanford
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
The New SaintsAmmanford
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
The New SaintsAmmanford

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

The New Saints is 212% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.15 pts / match - The New Saints · 0.69 pts / match - Ammanford

The New Saints - half-time state
62% leading31% draw8% trailing
Ammanford - half-time state
15% leading23% draw62% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.15Points per match (1st half)0.69
The New SaintsAmmanford
1.54Goals scored (1st half)0.31
The New SaintsAmmanford
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)1.23
The New SaintsAmmanford
1.85Average goals (1st half)1.54
The New SaintsAmmanford
69%Clean sheet before half-time23%
The New SaintsAmmanford
31%No goal before half-time69%
The New SaintsAmmanford

After half-time (2nd half)

2.54Points per match (2nd half)0.85
The New SaintsAmmanford
1.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.46
The New SaintsAmmanford
0.15Goals conceded (2nd half)1.23
The New SaintsAmmanford
2Average goals (2nd half)1.69
The New SaintsAmmanford
85%Clean sheet after half-time23%
The New SaintsAmmanford
15%No goal after half-time69%
The New SaintsAmmanford

The New Saints - second-half results

77% W23% D0% L
28
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 92%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ammanford - second-half results

23% W15% D62% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

The New Saints - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.003.00
Goals scored / match2.22.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match2.82.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+8+14
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 11
Ammanford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

The New Saints
ScoredConceded
5
0
0-15
7
0
16-30
8
4
31-45
5
1
46-60
10
1
61-75
9
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Ammanford
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
0
6
16-30
2
7
31-45
3
3
46-60
0
6
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.9 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

The New Saints

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.85
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.86
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
190%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
30%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Ammanford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.71
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

The New SaintsLigaAmmanford
Average goals in match▲ 3.853.29• 3.23
Both teams scored▼ 38%52%▼ 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 62%61%• 62%
Clean sheets▲ 62%25%▼ 8%
Goal before half-time▼ 77%79%▲ 92%
Goal after half-time• 85%85%▲ 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.29
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

When do The New Saints and Ammanford play?

The New Saints face Ammanford on 23 October 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Park Hall Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before The New Saints vs Ammanford?

The New Saints score 3.38 goals per game on average and Ammanford 0.77. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 38% of The New Saints's matches and 46% of Ammanford's.

What form are The New Saints and Ammanford in?

Over the last 5 games The New Saints have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Ammanford 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for The New Saints vs Ammanford?

The statistical background for The New Saints vs Ammanford — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.