Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of 13 September 2026

The New Saints vs Barry Town United: match statistics

170%(1.22)
X20%(5.50)
210%(13.00)

The New Saints are the decisive favorites for this encounter, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 82% home wins. The hosts have scored a massive 59 goals this season while conceding just 19, and their advantage in possession (70%) and efficiency (18% shot conversion) surpasses the visitors' metrics. Barry Town United struggles on the road – with only 27% wins, a negative goal difference (-3), and 27% of matches without scoring a goal. The New Saints' form in the last five matches (4 wins) and dominance in home games (averaging 3.18 goals per match) point to a certain home victory. The difference in class and statistics is significant enough that a draw or an away win seems highly unlikely.

The New Saints vs Barry Town United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

The New Saints played Barry Town United in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

The New Saints: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Barry Town United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

The New Saints scores 2.68 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Barry Town United scores 1.50 and concedes 1.14. League average: 3.13 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: The New Saints 41%, Barry Town United 50%. Over 2.5: The New Saints 68%, Barry Town United 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

The New Saints has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.40. The New Saints: 16.3 shots per match, Barry Town United: 10.6.

Match halves

The New Saints: half-time lead 68%, second-half goals 1.50. Barry Town United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

The New Saints: 46-60 (13 goals). Barry Town United: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The New Saints are the decisive favorites for this encounter, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 82% home wins. The hosts have scored a massive 59 goals this season while conceding just 19, and their advantage in possession (70%) and efficiency (18% shot conversion) surpasses the visitors' metrics. Barry Town United struggles on the road – with only 27% wins, a negative goal difference (-3), and 27% of matches without scoring a goal. The New Saints' form in the last five matches (4 wins) and dominance in home games (averaging 3.18 goals per match) point to a certain home victory. The difference in class and statistics is significant enough that a draw or an away win seems highly unlikely.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

60Possession (%)40
The New SaintsBarry Town United
19Shots4
The New SaintsBarry Town United
5Shots on target1
The New SaintsBarry Town United
2.08xG0.54
The New SaintsBarry Town United
7Corners2
The New SaintsBarry Town United
74Dangerous attacks29
The New SaintsBarry Town United
8Fouls6
The New SaintsBarry Town United
1Cards1
The New SaintsBarry Town United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

The New SaintsBarry Town United
2.68Goals scored / match1.5
The New SaintsBarry Town United
0.86Goals conceded / match1.14
The New SaintsBarry Town United
67%Average possession52%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
6.5Shots on target / match4.82
The New SaintsBarry Town United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.27Shots per match10.59
The New SaintsBarry Town United
6.5Shots on target4.82
The New SaintsBarry Town United
16.5%Shot conversion14.2%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
67%Possession52%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
2.08xG for1.4
The New SaintsBarry Town United
0.91xG against1.3
The New SaintsBarry Town United

Shooting quality

The New Saints: DominantBarry Town United: Efficient finishing
The New SaintsBarry Town United
Accuracy (shots on target)40%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

The New Saints is 71% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - The New Saints · 1.4 pts / match - Barry Town United

The New Saints
WWLWW
Season result split
77% W9% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-2-3
2.41 pts / match · goal difference +40
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-0-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 0.83BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Barry Town United
DWLLW
Season result split
32% W41% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-9-6
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

The New Saints is 79% better for: goals scored per match.

2.68 goals / match - The New Saints · 1.5 goals / match - Barry Town United

The New Saints is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.86 goals / match - The New Saints · 1.14 goals / match - Barry Town United

The New Saints scoring profile: very strong

The New Saints scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).

Barry Town United scoring profile: mixed

Barry Town United scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 55% (12 of 22 matches).

59Goals scored (season)33
The New SaintsBarry Town United
19Goals conceded (season)25
The New SaintsBarry Town United
3.55Average goals in match2.64
The New SaintsBarry Town United
8Goals scored (last 5)9
The New SaintsBarry Town United
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
The New SaintsBarry Town United

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal68%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
77%2 goals36%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
50%3 goals23%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
27%4 goals18%
The New SaintsBarry Town United

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal59%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
27%2 goals32%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
14%3 goals18%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
0%4 goals5%
The New SaintsBarry Town United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Barry Town United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 22 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time27%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
5%BTTS in both halves9%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
55%Scored in both halves27%
The New SaintsBarry Town United

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
32%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
40%BTTS - last 580%
The New SaintsBarry Town United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
The New SaintsBarry Town United

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time59%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
41%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
The New SaintsBarry Town United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

The New Saints is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.23 pts / match - The New Saints · 1.45 pts / match - Barry Town United

The New Saints - half-time state
68% leading18% draw14% trailing
Barry Town United - half-time state
32% leading50% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.23Points per match (1st half)1.45
The New SaintsBarry Town United
1.18Goals scored (1st half)0.77
The New SaintsBarry Town United
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
The New SaintsBarry Town United
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.23
The New SaintsBarry Town United
77%Clean sheet before half-time59%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
32%No goal before half-time50%
The New SaintsBarry Town United

After half-time (2nd half)

2.09Points per match (2nd half)1.27
The New SaintsBarry Town United
1.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
The New SaintsBarry Town United
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
The New SaintsBarry Town United
2.05Average goals (2nd half)1.41
The New SaintsBarry Town United
59%Clean sheet after half-time59%
The New SaintsBarry Town United
23%No goal after half-time55%
The New SaintsBarry Town United

The New Saints - second-half results

59% W32% D9% L
49
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+21
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 68% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Barry Town United - second-half results

23% W59% D18% L
32
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

The New Saints - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Barry Town United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

The New Saints
ScoredConceded
9
1
0-15
8
3
16-30
9
3
31-45
13
3
46-60
8
3
61-75
12
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Barry Town United
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
7
3
16-30
6
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
6
5
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.09
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

The New Saints

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
165%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Barry Town United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

The New SaintsLigaBarry Town United
Average goals in match 3.553.13 2.64
Both teams scored 41%53% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%59% 50%
Clean sheets 55%27% 41%
Goal before half-time 82%77% 64%
Goal after half-time 82%76% 59%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.50
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. The New SaintsGoalRyan Brobbel
  2. Barry Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Daniel BartonOff: Callum Sainty
  3. The New SaintsYellow cardEoin Farrell
  4. Barry Town UnitedYellow cardMichael George
  5. The New SaintsSubstitutionOn: Ben ClarkOff: Eoin Farrell
  6. Barry Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Josh BernardOff: Owen James Cuddihy
  7. The New SaintsSubstitutionOn: Adam WilsonOff: Ryan Brobbel
  8. Barry Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Daniel SmithOff: Eliot Allen Richards

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

John Andrew JonesMatches officiated: 11
3.64Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 227%Home wins36%Draws36%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): The New Saints 1 - 1 - 0 Barry Town United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

The New Saints FC
4 : 0
Barry Town United FC
Barry Town United FC
0 : 0
The New Saints FC

FAQ

What was the result of The New Saints vs Barry Town United?

The Welsh Premier League match finished The New Saints 1:0 Barry Town United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between The New Saints and Barry Town United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches The New Saints won 1, Barry Town United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before The New Saints vs Barry Town United?

The New Saints score 2.68 goals per game on average and Barry Town United 1.50. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 41% of The New Saints's matches and 50% of Barry Town United's.

What form are The New Saints and Barry Town United in?

Over the last 5 games The New Saints have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Barry Town United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for The New Saints vs Barry Town United?

The statistical background for The New Saints vs Barry Town United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.