Wales - Welsh Premier LeaguePark Hall StadiumData current as of 16 October 2026

The New Saints vs Briton Ferry: match statistics

The New Saints crest
The New Saints
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Briton Ferry crest
Briton Ferry

The New Saints vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

The New Saints played Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 14 August 2026. Venue: Park Hall Stadium. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

The New Saints: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Briton Ferry: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

The New Saints scores 1.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Briton Ferry scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.13 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: The New Saints 0%, Briton Ferry 100%. Over 2.5: The New Saints 0%, Briton Ferry 50%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

The New Saints has higher xG: 2.37 vs 2.00. The New Saints: 17.5 shots per match, Briton Ferry: 15.0.

Match halves

The New Saints: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Briton Ferry: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

The New Saints: 31-45+ (1 goals). Briton Ferry: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The New Saints have a clear home advantage: they won their only home match so far, scoring 2 goals and conceding none. The hosts create a high volume of chances, averaging 25 shots and 11 on target per match, while their xG stands at an impressive 3.30 compared with Briton Ferry’s 1.34 away from home. The New Saints’ defence also looks more solid, allowing opponents just 0.71 xG and keeping a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches. Briton Ferry are in better overall form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, but they drew in their only away appearance, recording just 40% possession and conceding 2.80 xG. The visitors can pose a threat with a 14% conversion rate, but the hosts’ superiority in controlling the game and creating high-quality chances points towards a The New Saints win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS - Yes is primarily supported by Briton Ferry’s very poor away defensive record: the team allows an average xG of 2.80, while The New Saints produce as much as 2.65 xG at home and register 23 shots per match. The visitors also have genuine scoring potential, with an average xG of 1.34, while the hosts have failed to keep a single clean sheet throughout the season. In Briton Ferry’s last five matches, BTTS landed in 80% of games, with the team scoring an average of 1.6 goals, whereas The New Saints have conceded only 0.6 goals per match, which slightly reduces confidence in the pick. Despite the hosts’ weaker recent run, during which BTTS appeared in only 20% of matches, both teams have a 100% season record of avoiding a No Goal result, while the league BTTS average is a high 63%. The most likely scenario is therefore one in which offensively dominant The New Saints score at least once, while Briton Ferry exploit the opposition’s lack of clean sheets.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The New Saints create chances worth an average of 2.65 xG per home match, while Briton Ferry allow opponents as much as 2.80 xG away from home. The hosts average 23 shots, including 6 on target, whereas the visitors manage only 7 attempts and 3 shots on target, clearly indicating TNS’s superiority in chance creation. In all of their league matches so far, both teams have consistently exceeded the 1.5-goal line, while the league-wide average stands at a high 3.13 goals. Caution around higher lines is warranted due to TNS’s last five matches, in which the team scored just 0.8 goals per game and Over 2.5 landed in 20% of cases. Despite this, the combination of the hosts’ attacking potential and the visitors’ poor defensive quality provides the strongest signal for Over 1.5 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Briton Ferry have the better current run: they have won 60% of their last five matches, compared with just 40% for The New Saints, while their average goals scored stand at 1.6 and 0.8, respectively. The visitors look particularly solid before the break, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.2 conceded during this period, whereas the hosts score just 0.2 and concede 0.6. Over the course of the season, The New Saints’ attacking potential is indeed high, as reflected by an xG of 2.65 and 23 shots per match, but their recent form clearly fails to confirm this advantage. Briton Ferry led at the break in 40% of their recent matches and were not behind in any of them after 45 minutes, making the most likely scenario an HT/FT outcome of 2/2: the visitors leading at half-time and securing the win at full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

75Possession (%)25
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
21Shots8
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
9Shots on target3
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
2.31xG1.01
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
4Corners1
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
51Dangerous attacks41
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
10Fouls11
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
3Cards1
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

The New SaintsBriton Ferry
1Goals scored / match1.5
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0Goals conceded / match1
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
72%Average possession50%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
8Shots on target / match4.5
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.5Shots per match15
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
8Shots on target4.5
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
5.7%Shot conversion10%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
72%Possession50%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
2.37xG for2
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0.64xG against1.86
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

Shooting quality

The New Saints: DominantBriton Ferry: Attacking
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
Accuracy (shots on target)46%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.130.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

The New Saints
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 2.37Opponent xG: 0.64BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Briton Ferry
WD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 50%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Briton Ferry is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - The New Saints · 1.5 goals / match - Briton Ferry

The New Saints scoring profile: very strong

The New Saints scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

Briton Ferry scoring profile: mixed

Briton Ferry scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).

2Goals scored (season)3
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0Goals conceded (season)2
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
1Average goals in match2.5
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
2Goals scored (last 5)3
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0Goals conceded (last 5)2
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal100%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
50%2 goals50%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%3 goals0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%4 goals0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

How often they concede at least...

0%1 goal100%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%2 goals0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%3 goals0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%4 goals0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time50%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%BTTS in both halves0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
50%Scored in both halves50%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%BTTS - last 5100%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

The New Saints - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Briton Ferry - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)2
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0.5Average goals (1st half)1.5
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
100%Clean sheet before half-time50%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
50%No goal before half-time0%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.5
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
0.5Average goals (2nd half)1
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
100%Clean sheet after half-time50%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
50%No goal after half-time50%
The New SaintsBriton Ferry

The New Saints - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Briton Ferry - second-half results

50% W0% D50% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

The New Saints - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match0.50.5
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.50.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Briton Ferry - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.50
Goals scored / match1.00.5
Goals conceded / match0.50.5
Average goals in match1.51.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal0%50%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

The New Saints
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Briton Ferry
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
56%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

The New Saints

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.73
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Briton Ferry

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.86
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

The New SaintsLigaBriton Ferry
Average goals in match▼ 1.003.13▼ 2.50
Both teams scored▼ 0%63%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%63%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 100%22%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%81%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%69%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.56
Away goals / match
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defence advantage
+-6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
38%
3 goals
13%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. The New SaintsYellow cardJoshua Lock
  2. The New SaintsYellow cardDynel Simeu
  3. The New SaintsYellow cardJordan Williams
  4. The New SaintsGoalDaniel Patrick Williams
  5. Briton FerrySubstitutionOn: Tristan JenkinsOff: Ollie Anderson
  6. The New SaintsSubstitutionOn: Daniel RedmondOff: Zach Nolan
  7. Briton FerrySubstitutionOn: Ryan GeorgeOff: Luis Bates
  8. Briton FerryYellow cardThomas Walters

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): The New Saints 1 - 0 - 1 Briton Ferry. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC
0 : 2
The New Saints FC
The New Saints FC
0 : 3
Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

FAQ

What was the result of The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

The Welsh Premier League match finished The New Saints 1:0 Briton Ferry. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between The New Saints and Briton Ferry?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches The New Saints won 1, Briton Ferry won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

The New Saints score 1.00 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 1.50. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 0% of The New Saints's matches and 100% of Briton Ferry's.

What form are The New Saints and Briton Ferry in?

Over the last 5 games The New Saints have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Briton Ferry 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

The statistical background for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.