The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics
The New Saints are the clear favorites for this encounter, sitting in 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The hosts display dominant home form with an 80% win rate at home, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per match while conceding just 1.1. Their advantage in possession (69%) and clinicality (19% shot conversion) significantly surpass Colwyn Bay's metrics. The visitors, despite decent form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), have distinctly weaker away stats: only 40% away wins, 40% of matches failing to score, and an average of 1.1 goals scored per match. The difference in Expected Goals (xG For: 2.26 vs 1.5) and goal difference (+23 vs +3) clearly point to the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistical parameters, a victory for The New Saints is the most probable scenario.
The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
The New Saints played Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 13 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
The New Saints: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Colwyn Bay: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
The New Saints scores 2.76 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Colwyn Bay scores 1.38 and concedes 1.14. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: The New Saints 43%, Colwyn Bay 52%. Over 2.5: The New Saints 71%, Colwyn Bay 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
The New Saints has higher xG: 2.09 vs 1.50. The New Saints: 16.3 shots per match, Colwyn Bay: 11.9.
Match halves
The New Saints: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.57. Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
The New Saints: 46-60 (13 goals). Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The New Saints are the clear favorites for this encounter, sitting in 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The hosts display dominant home form with an 80% win rate at home, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per match while conceding just 1.1. Their advantage in possession (69%) and clinicality (19% shot conversion) significantly surpass Colwyn Bay's metrics. The visitors, despite decent form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), have distinctly weaker away stats: only 40% away wins, 40% of matches failing to score, and an average of 1.1 goals scored per match. The difference in Expected Goals (xG For: 2.26 vs 1.5) and goal difference (+23 vs +3) clearly point to the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistical parameters, a victory for The New Saints is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| The New Saints | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
The New Saints is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - The New Saints · 1.2 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
The New Saints is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
2.76 goals / match - The New Saints · 1.38 goals / match - Colwyn Bay
The New Saints is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - The New Saints · 1.14 goals / match - Colwyn Bay
The New Saints scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Colwyn Bay scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - The New Saints
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
The New Saints is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.19 pts / match - The New Saints · 1.52 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
The New Saints - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| The New Saints | Liga | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 3.07 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 48% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: The New Saints 0 - 1 - 0 Colwyn Bay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished The New Saints 1:0 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
The New Saints score 2.76 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.38. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 43% of The New Saints's matches and 52% of Colwyn Bay's.
What form are The New Saints and Colwyn Bay in?
Over the last 5 games The New Saints have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.