Thitsar Arman vs Hantharwady United: match statistics

Thitsar Arman remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws while scoring 11 goals during that period. Hantharwady United, meanwhile, are in very poor form: they have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 0 goals and conceding 8. The hosts average 2 goals per home match, while the visitors have yet to score away from home, failing to find the net in 100% of such appearances. Hantharwady’s defence allows opponents an xG of 1.83, significantly higher than the 1.05 xG conceded by Thitsar Arman at home. Although the hosts drew their only home match so far, their current attacking efficiency and clearly superior results trend point to a Thitsar Arman victory.

The strongest signal is Hantharwady United’s very weak attack: they have not scored a goal in the current campaign, while they have also averaged 0.0 goals across their last 5 matches. The visitors failed to score in 100% of their matches this season, despite recording an average xG of 1.35 over their five most recent appearances, which points to significant inefficiency. Thitsar Arman are in good goalscoring form, netting 11 goals in their last 5 matches—an average of 2.2 per game—while their opponents conceded 1.6 goals per match during this period. The hosts should have good opportunities to score, but their defence has recently allowed just 0.59 xG on average, further reducing the visitors’ chances of finding the net. The 60% BTTS rate in Thitsar Arman’s last five matches does not offset Hantharwady United’s run, with 0% of their matches featuring goals from both sides and a 0% BTTS rate this season.

Thitsar Arman have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Hantharwady United conceded 1.6 goals per game during that period, giving the home side clear attacking potential. At the same time, the visitors have failed to score in any of their last 5 appearances and have not recorded a both-teams-to-score result, whereas the hosts conceded just 1.0 goal on average. Thitsar Arman’s defensive xG from their last 5 matches stands at just 0.59, so Hantharwady’s chances of making a significant contribution on the scoresheet are limited. Although 80% of the hosts’ matches in this series went Over 2.5 goals, the visitors’ poor finishing reduces the likelihood of an open game with at least 4 goals. The 2.25-goal projection points to value on Under 3.5 goals.

Thitsar Arman have averaged 2.2 goals scored and conceded just 1.0 over their last five matches, while Hantharwady United have failed to score during this period and have conceded 1.6 goals per game. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five outings, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, whereas the visitors have suffered 4 defeats. At half-time, Thitsar Arman were leading in 40% of those matches and level in the remaining 60%, while Hantharwady United were trailing at the break in as many as 80% of their games and failed to score before half-time. The hosts' first-half superiority is clear: they average 1.4 goals in the opening 45 minutes compared with 0.0 for the visitors. Therefore, the HT/FT scenario of Thitsar Arman leading at the break and maintaining their advantage to win the match has the strongest statistical basis.