Iceland - ÚrvalsdeildÞórsvöllurData current as of 15 October 2026

Thór vs Keflavík: match statistics

Thór crest
Thór
0 : 2half-time 0:1
Keflavík crest
Keflavík

Thór vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Thór played Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Þórsvöllur. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Thór: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Keflavík: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Thór scores 1.00 and concedes 2.44 goals per match. Keflavík scores 1.56 and concedes 1.89. League average: 3.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Thór 56%, Keflavík 78%. Over 2.5: Thór 61%, Keflavík 67%. League level: BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 69%.

xG, shots and style

Keflavík has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.23. Thór: 11.2 shots per match, Keflavík: 15.3.

Match halves

Thór: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.61. Keflavík: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Thór: 76-90+ (5 goals). Keflavík: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Úrvalsdeild: 3.87 goals per match, BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 69%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Thór have the clearer home advantage: they have won 33% of their home matches, while Keflavík have won just 22% of their away games and lost as many as 67%. The hosts concede an average of 2.00 goals per match at home, fewer than the 2.56 goals per game allowed by the visitors away from home. Keflavík do, however, create slightly higher-quality chances on the road, with an average xG of 1.51 compared with Thór’s 1.25, and have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, compared with just 4 for the hosts. Both teams are vulnerable defensively, as reflected by their average xGA figures of 2.13 for Thór and 1.96 for Keflavík. Home advantage and Keflavík’s poor away run give Thór a slight edge, although the match should remain closely contested and high-scoring.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS - Yes is supported by a high seasonal percentage of matches in which both teams have scored: 67% for Thór and as much as 89% for Keflavík, compared with the league average of 70%. Keflavík have kept no clean sheets and concede an average of 2.56 goals per match, while Thór create an average of 1.80 xG at home and record 5.00 shots on target per game. The visitors have strong reasons to respond with a goal, having scored an average of 2.0 goals in their last five matches with an xG of 1.87, while Thór conceded 1.8 goals per match over the same period. A cautionary signal is the hosts’ weaker recent finishing, with only 4 goals scored in five appearances, which reduces confidence in the pick. Nevertheless, the combination of Keflavík’s very poor defence, their lack of clean sheets and the attacking numbers of both teams points more clearly towards goals at both ends.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The match profile clearly points towards goals: Thór average 1.78 goals scored, while Keflavík concede as many as 2.56 goals per game. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.80 xG, while the visitors’ defense allows opponents 1.96 xG. Keflavík have scored 2.0 goals per game across their last five matches, while both teams have conceded an average of 1.8 and 2.0 goals respectively during this period. The 1.5 line has been surpassed in 78% of Thór’s matches and 89% of Keflavík’s games, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick with a projected total of 3.45 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Thór hold a clear edge in the full-season data: they average 1.78 goals at home, while Keflavík concede as many as 2.56 goals per away match. The hosts led at the break in 44% of their games and were behind after 45 minutes in only 11%, whereas the visitors went into half-time trailing in 56% of their away fixtures. Thór’s defence allows an average of 0.44 goals before the break, compared with the 0.89 conceded by Keflavík, while the hosts also register more shots on target, 5.0 compared with 4.11. The last five matches give the visitors a better first-half profile, but their 67% away-loss rate this season and failure to keep a clean sheet suggest that Thór will take the lead and hold it through to full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
ThórKeflavík
6Shots14
ThórKeflavík
2Shots on target4
ThórKeflavík
0.84xG1.47
ThórKeflavík
4Corners8
ThórKeflavík
44Dangerous attacks43
ThórKeflavík
12Fouls8
ThórKeflavík
2Cards2
ThórKeflavík

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.56
ThórKeflavík
2.44Goals conceded / match1.89
ThórKeflavík
41%Average possession45%
ThórKeflavík
3.44Shots on target / match4.56
ThórKeflavík

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.17Shots per match15.28
ThórKeflavík
3.44Shots on target4.56
ThórKeflavík
9%Shot conversion10.2%
ThórKeflavík
41%Possession45%
ThórKeflavík
1.23xG for1.66
ThórKeflavík
2.25xG against1.74
ThórKeflavík

Shooting quality

Thór: BalancedKeflavík: Attacking
ThórKeflavík
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Thór is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Thór · 1.2 pts / match - Keflavík

Thór
LWDWL
Season result split
22% W17% D61% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-11
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Keflavík
LWLWL
Season result split
33% W22% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-8
1.22 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-6
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 2.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Keflavík is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Thór · 1.56 goals / match - Keflavík

Keflavík is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.44 goals / match - Thór · 1.89 goals / match - Keflavík

Thór scoring profile: very strong

Thór scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).

Keflavík scoring profile: very strong

Keflavík scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Thór keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).

18Goals scored (season)28
ThórKeflavík
44Goals conceded (season)34
ThórKeflavík
3.44Average goals in match3.44
ThórKeflavík
4Goals scored (last 5)10
ThórKeflavík
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
ThórKeflavík

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal89%
ThórKeflavík
28%2 goals33%
ThórKeflavík
6%3 goals22%
ThórKeflavík
0%4 goals6%
ThórKeflavík

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%
ThórKeflavík
56%2 goals50%
ThórKeflavík
44%3 goals28%
ThórKeflavík
33%4 goals11%
ThórKeflavík

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
ThórKeflavík
0%BTTS in both halves6%
ThórKeflavík
6%Scored in both halves22%
ThórKeflavík

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
ThórKeflavík
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
ThórKeflavík
40%BTTS - last 560%
ThórKeflavík

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
ThórKeflavík
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
ThórKeflavík
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
ThórKeflavík

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
ThórKeflavík
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
ThórKeflavík
39%Min. 3 goals after half-time39%
ThórKeflavík

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Keflavík is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.78 pts / match - Thór · 1.33 pts / match - Keflavík

Thór - half-time state
17% leading28% draw56% trailing
Keflavík - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.78Points per match (1st half)1.33
ThórKeflavík
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.67
ThórKeflavík
1.06Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
ThórKeflavík
1.44Average goals (1st half)1.33
ThórKeflavík
33%Clean sheet before half-time50%
ThórKeflavík
72%No goal before half-time50%
ThórKeflavík

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.28
ThórKeflavík
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
ThórKeflavík
1.39Goals conceded (2nd half)1.22
ThórKeflavík
2Average goals (2nd half)2.11
ThórKeflavík
33%Clean sheet after half-time33%
ThórKeflavík
56%No goal after half-time39%
ThórKeflavík

Thór - second-half results

22% W33% D44% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Keflavík - second-half results

33% W28% D39% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Thór - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Keflavík - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.6
Average goals in match1.62.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Thór
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
0
10
16-30
3
5
31-45
2
7
46-60
4
7
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Keflavík
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
2
4
16-30
8
3
31-45
6
9
46-60
5
2
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-71%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Thór

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Keflavík

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).

Teams vs league

ThórLigaKeflavík
Average goals in match▼ 3.443.87▼ 3.44
Both teams scored▼ 56%70%▲ 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 61%69%▼ 67%
Clean sheets• 17%17%• 17%
Goal before half-time▼ 78%81%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%86%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.87
Average goals per match
70%
Both teams scored
69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
2.13
Home goals / match
1.74
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
13%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
61%
2 goals
41%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KeflavíkYellow cardAxel Ingi Jóhannesson
  2. KeflavíkYellow cardMarin Brigić
  3. ThórYellow cardÁgúst Eðvald Hlynsson
  4. KeflavíkSubstitutionOn: Elvis BwomonoOff: Axel Ingi Jóhannesson
  5. ThórYellow cardVíctor Bertomeu de la O
  6. KeflavíkSubstitutionOn: Mate SimicicOff: Baldur Logi Guðlaugsson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Thór 0 - 0 - 1 Keflavík. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Thór vs Keflavík?

The Úrvalsdeild match finished Thór 0:2 Keflavík. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Thór vs Keflavík?

Thór score 1.00 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.56. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Thór's matches and 78% of Keflavík's.

What form are Thór and Keflavík in?

Over the last 5 games Thór have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Keflavík 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thór vs Keflavík?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.