Thór vs Stjarnan: match statistics
Thór vs Stjarnan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Thór played Stjarnan in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 31 May 2026. Venue: Þórsvöllur. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Thór: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Stjarnan: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Thór scores 0.75 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Stjarnan scores 1.67 and concedes 2.33. League average: 3.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Thór 38%, Stjarnan 89%. Over 2.5: Thór 63%, Stjarnan 78%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Stjarnan has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.25. Thór: 11.1 shots per match, Stjarnan: 12.6.
Match halves
Thór: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.63. Stjarnan: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Thór: 46-60 (2 goals). Stjarnan: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.85 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stjarnan holds a clear offensive edge and I project them to win: the visitors scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches while Thór has just 1 in that span. Away, Stjarnan averages 2.0 goals per match and have failed to score in 0% of away fixtures, whereas Thór at home averages 0.67 goals per match and have 33% of home games without a goal. The visitors average 5.67 shots on target away with a 19% conversion rate, compared to Thór’s 4.67 shots on target and 5% conversion; despite similar xG (1.39 vs 1.40), the higher finishing rate gives Stjarnan the advantage. Defensively Thór are in crisis – they conceded 14 goals in the last 5 matches (2.8 per game) and lost all 5 fixtures, while Stjarnan conceded 9 goals (1.8 per game) and have 0.8 points per game in that period. Considering the superior quality of created chances, higher goal conversion and the hosts’ poor run, I assess a 55% probability of a visitors’ win, 25% for a draw and 20% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators strongly favor BTTS: Thór has BTTS in 83% of matches, Stjarnan 100%, and the league BTTS rate is 69%. Both sides concede frequently — Thór concedes on average 2.5 goals per game with 20 conceded this season, Stjarnan 2.0 and 21 conceded — and in the last 5 Thór conceded 14 goals (avg. 2.8), Stjarnan 9 (avg. 1.8), increasing the likelihood of each team conceding. From a chance-creation perspective both teams have xG>1: Thór xG 1.68, Stjarnan xG 1.39, and shots on target are similar (5.5 vs 5.67); additionally Stjarnan has 15 goals this season versus Thór's 6, indicating Stjarnan is particularly threatening. Contra: Thór are in poor attacking form — 1 goal scored in the last 5 matches (avg. 0.2) and 5 straight losses, which weakens the probability they will score. Considering dominant seasonal BTTS signals (83%/100%), xG and comparable SOT numbers and Stjarnan’s superior efficiency (conversion rate 19% vs 11%), I predict BTTS - Yes with a probability of 72% vs 28%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and opponent defensive analysis yields expected goals of 1.90 for Thór (attack xG 1.68 and xG conceded vs Stjarnan 2.12) and 1.65 for Stjarnan (attack xG 1.39 and xG conceded vs Thór 1.91), totaling 3.55 goals. Seasonally Thór records Over 1.5 in 83% of matches and Stjarnan in 100%, while the league averages 3.85 goals per game — a strong historical signal for >1.5 goals. Over 2.5 stats are also 83% for Thór and 67% for Stjarnan, and the combined xG 3.55 sits well above 2.5, so the estimated probability for Over 2.5 is ~78%. Both teams have high BTTS rates: 83% (Thór) and 100% (Stjarnan), and shot volume and conversion rates show Stjarnan is efficient (10.67 shots at 19% conversion ≈ 2.0 goals), which supports goals on both ends. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (83% vs 100% seasonally and combined xG 3.55), therefore I recommend playing the over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics favor Stjarnan: the visitors average 2.0 goals per match versus 1.5 for the hosts, while the hosts concede 2.5 goals on average compared to 2.0 conceded by Stjarnan; seasonal points averages are 1.33 for the visitors and 0.5 for Thór. In Thór’s last 5 matches they were trailing at the break in 4 of 5 games (80%), whereas Stjarnan led at the break in 2 of 5 (40%) and average 0.8 goals by half-time versus 0.0 for the hosts, suggesting an advantage for the visitors already in the first 45 minutes. Although the hosts’ xG is 1.68 versus Stjarnan’s 1.39, the visitors convert chances more efficiently (shot conversion 19% vs 11%), so the hosts’ higher xG does not necessarily translate into more goals. Additionally, both teams frequently exchange goals (percentage of matches with both teams scoring: hosts 83%, visitors 100%), and Thór is on a run of 5 consecutive defeats, which together increases the probability of an away victory. On this basis the most likely scenario is Stjarnan leading at half-time and winning by full-time (2/2) — assigned a 47% probability; the half-time draw / away win (X/2) option is given 25%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Thór | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stjarnan is 123% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Thór · 1.67 goals / match - Stjarnan
Stjarnan is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - Thór · 2.33 goals / match - Stjarnan
Thór scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
Stjarnan scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Thór keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Thór
Over / Under - Stjarnan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stjarnan is 279% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.38 pts / match - Thór · 1.44 pts / match - Stjarnan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Thór - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stjarnan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Thór
Stjarnan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Thór | Liga | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.25 | 3.85 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 69% | ▲ 89% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 16% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Thór vs Stjarnan?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Thór 1:3 Stjarnan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Thór vs Stjarnan?
Thór score 0.75 goals per game on average and Stjarnan 1.67. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Thór's matches and 89% of Stjarnan's.
What form are Thór and Stjarnan in?
Over the last 5 games Thór have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Stjarnan 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thór vs Stjarnan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Thór vs Stjarnan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.