Thun vs Basel: match statistics
Thun vs Basel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Thun played Basel in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Thun: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Basel: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Thun scores 2.25 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Basel scores 1.56 and concedes 1.31. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Thun 72%, Basel 63%. Over 2.5: Thun 78%, Basel 59%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Thun has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.74. Thun: 17.5 shots per match, Basel: 15.6.
Match halves
Thun: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.31. Basel: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Thun: 46-60 (16 goals). Basel: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Thun has a clear home and offensive advantage: 72 goals this season and an average of 2.44 goals per home match with 17.81 shots and 6.44 on target, and a home shot conversion of 14%. Basel average 1.56 goals away, 14.5 shots and 5.38 on target with an 11% conversion, indicating lower efficiency than Thun. Thun also has more wins this season (23 vs 15) and a 69% win rate at home, whereas Basel wins 50% of away matches and has a negative away goal difference (-2). Defensively Thun concedes 1.19 goals at home on average and has xG against 1.65 (home xG 1.99), while Basel concedes 1.69 goals away with xG against 1.95 (away xG 1.63), giving the hosts an edge in limiting scoring opportunities. Although Basel are in better recent form over the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss and 2.0 points per game) compared to Thun (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses and 1.4 points per game), Thun’s lower share of shutouts (13% vs 19%) and superior conversion rate support a recommendation for a Thun win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 63% (Thun 63%, Basel 63%), and the league records 67% of matches with both teams scoring, which gives a baseline signal for BTTS - Yes. Thun at home in the last 5 matches shows BTTS 80% and averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Basel in their last 5 has BTTS 40% and averages 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded — this weakens the signal from Basel but does not eliminate goals. xG metrics indicate Thun creates 1.86 xG at home versus 1.95 xG conceded by Basel away, and Basel creates 1.63 xG away against 1.32 xG conceded by Thun, meaning both sides generate realistic scoring opportunities. Season averages confirm this analysis: Thun scores 1.56 and concedes 0.94, Basel scores 1.56 and concedes 1.69 — the higher goals conceded average for Basel increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Based on this, I assess BTTS - Yes as more likely and propose 68% for "yes" and 32% for "no".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis yields expected goals of 1.90 for Thun (attacking xG 1.86) and 1.48 for Basel (attacking xG 1.63), totaling 3.38 goals. This translates into a high probability of Over 1.5 goals — around 85% (only ~15% chance of 0–1 goal). Seasonal stats confirm this: Thun has 75% of matches Over 1.5, Basel 88%, and the league averages 3.25 goals per game; both teams have 63% of season matches with Both Teams To Score. Additionally, Thun averages 16.75 shots (6.0 on target) and 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches, while Basel averages 14.5 shots (5.38 on target) and 1.8 goals, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 — I back the Over 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Assessing the first half, the last five matches show Basel led at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5), while Thun led only in 20% (1 of 5), giving the visitors an early-match advantage. However, over the season Thun at home generates xG 1.86 and concedes on average 0.94 goals per match versus Basel, who concede 1.69 goals away and have away xG against of 1.95, which favors the hosts in the longer term. First-half figures are similar — Thun scores 0.69 goals per HT and concedes 0.38, Basel scores 0.81 and concedes 0.81, so a half-time draw appears realistic (AVGHT_home 1.06 vs AVGHT_away 1.63). After the break Thun holds the advantage: at home they average 0.88 goals in second halves and have a second-half goal difference of +5, while Basel have gd_2hg -2 and concede on average 0.88 after the break, therefore the most likely scenario is a draw after 45 minutes and a home win by full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Thun | Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Basel is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Thun · 2 pts / match - Basel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Thun is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - Thun · 1.56 goals / match - Basel
Thun is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Thun · 1.31 goals / match - Basel
Thun scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Basel keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
Basel scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Thun keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Thun
Over / Under - Basel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Thun is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.72 pts / match - Thun · 1.63 pts / match - Basel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Thun - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Basel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Thun
Basel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Thun | Liga | Basel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▼ 59% |
| Clean sheets | • 19% | 19% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 83% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Thun 1 - 0 - 1 Basel. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Thun vs Basel?
The Super League match finished Thun 3:1 Basel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Thun and Basel?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Thun won 1, Basel won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Thun vs Basel?
Thun score 2.25 goals per game on average and Basel 1.56. The Super League average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Thun's matches and 63% of Basel's.
What form are Thun and Basel in?
Over the last 5 games Thun have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Basel 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thun vs Basel?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.