Thun vs Lugano: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Thun played Lugano in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Thun: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Lugano: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Thun scores 2.00 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Lugano scores 1.42 and concedes 1.42. League average: 3.41 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Thun 69%, Lugano 58%. Over 2.5: Thun 77%, Lugano 58%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 75%.

xG, shots and style

Thun has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.61. Thun: 17.4 shots per match, Lugano: 15.1.

Match halves

Thun: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.08. Lugano: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Thun: 46-60 (6 goals). Lugano: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 3.41 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 75%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

41Possession (%)59
ThunLugano
23Shots13
ThunLugano
10Shots on target3
ThunLugano
2.54xG1.5
ThunLugano
10Corners5
ThunLugano
55Dangerous attacks66
ThunLugano
8Fouls14
ThunLugano
2Cards5
ThunLugano

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match1.42
ThunLugano
1.08Goals conceded / match1.42
ThunLugano
44%Average possession55%
ThunLugano
5.31Shots on target / match4.92
ThunLugano

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.38Shots per match15.08
ThunLugano
5.31Shots on target4.92
ThunLugano
11.5%Shot conversion9.4%
ThunLugano
44%Possession55%
ThunLugano
1.83xG for1.61
ThunLugano
1.63xG against1.6
ThunLugano

Shooting quality

Thun: AttackingLugano: Dominant
ThunLugano
Accuracy (shots on target)31%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Thun is 25% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Thun · 2.4 pts / match - Lugano

Thun
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
77% W8% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-1-2
2.38 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Lugano
WWLWW
Season result split
50% W8% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-5
1.58 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-4
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Thun is 41% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Thun · 1.42 goals / match - Lugano

Thun is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.08 goals / match - Thun · 1.42 goals / match - Lugano

Thun scoring profile: very strong

Thun scores in 100% of matches (13 of 13 matches), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

Lugano scoring profile: very strong

Lugano scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Thun keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

26Goals scored (season)17
ThunLugano
14Goals conceded (season)17
ThunLugano
3.08Average goals in match2.83
ThunLugano
10Goals scored (last 5)9
ThunLugano
2Goals conceded (last 5)4
ThunLugano

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
ThunLugano
69%2 goals33%
ThunLugano
23%3 goals17%
ThunLugano
8%4 goals8%
ThunLugano

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal75%
ThunLugano
15%2 goals42%
ThunLugano
15%3 goals17%
ThunLugano
8%4 goals8%
ThunLugano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time17%
ThunLugano
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ThunLugano
46%Scored in both halves8%
ThunLugano

BTTS and goal count

62%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
ThunLugano
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
ThunLugano
40%BTTS - last 540%
ThunLugano

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
ThunLugano
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
ThunLugano
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ThunLugano

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
ThunLugano
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
ThunLugano
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
ThunLugano

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Thun is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.77 pts / match - Thun · 1.42 pts / match - Lugano

Thun - half-time state
46% leading38% draw15% trailing
Lugano - half-time state
33% leading42% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.77Points per match (1st half)1.42
ThunLugano
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.58
ThunLugano
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
ThunLugano
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.08
ThunLugano
54%Clean sheet before half-time58%
ThunLugano
38%No goal before half-time50%
ThunLugano

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.25
ThunLugano
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
ThunLugano
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
ThunLugano
1.62Average goals (2nd half)1.75
ThunLugano
69%Clean sheet after half-time33%
ThunLugano
15%No goal after half-time58%
ThunLugano

Thun - second-half results

54% W38% D8% L
23
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lugano - second-half results

33% W25% D42% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Thun - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.60
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Lugano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Thun
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
6
0
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Lugano
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
4
46-60
6
3
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.96
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Thun

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Lugano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

ThunLigaLugano
Average goals in match 3.083.41 2.83
Both teams scored 69%66% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 77%75% 58%
Clean sheets 31%19% 25%
Goal before half-time 77%76% 75%
Goal after half-time 85%86% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.41
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.95
Home goals / match
1.46
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ThunYellow cardJustin Roth
  2. LuganoYellow cardHicham Mahou
  3. LuganoSubstitutionOn: Mohamed Belhaj MahmoudOff: Hicham Mahou
  4. LuganoYellow cardMohamed Belhaj Mahmoud
  5. LuganoRed cardUran Bislimi
  6. ThunYellow cardMarco Bürki
  7. ThunSubstitutionOn: Layton StewartOff: Lucien Dähler
  8. LuganoYellow cardAmir Saipi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Nico GianforteMatches officiated: 15
5.6Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 227%Home wins47%Draws27%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Thun 1 - 0 - 0 Lugano. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FC Lugano
1 : 2
FC Thun

FAQ

What was the result of Thun vs Lugano?

The Super League match finished Thun 0:1 Lugano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Thun vs Lugano?

Thun score 2.00 goals per game on average and Lugano 1.42. The Super League average is 3.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 75% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Thun's matches and 58% of Lugano's.

What form are Thun and Lugano in?

Over the last 5 games Thun have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Lugano 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thun vs Lugano?

The statistical background for Thun vs Lugano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.