Thun vs Young Boys: match statistics
Thun vs Young Boys: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Thun played Young Boys in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 14 May 2026. Final score: 3:8.
Current form
Thun: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Young Boys: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Thun scores 2.11 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Young Boys scores 1.92 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Thun 69%, Young Boys 67%. Over 2.5: Thun 75%, Young Boys 72%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Thun has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.70. Thun: 17.0 shots per match, Young Boys: 14.9.
Match halves
Thun: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.22. Young Boys: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.22.
Goals by minute
Thun: 46-60 (17 goals). Young Boys: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Thun holds a clear advantage in home metrics: at home they average 2.33 goals per game with 17.5 shots and 6.39 shots on target, and they have 76 goals on the season. Young Boys average 1.61 goals away with 13.17 shots and 4.17 shots on target, indicating lower offensive efficiency from the visitors. Defensively the hosts concede 1.17 goals at home versus 2.28 conceded by Young Boys on the road, and xG values also favor Thun (xG for 1.97 vs 1.46; xG against both 1.66). However, Thun’s poorer form in the last 5 matches should be noted – only 1 win, 4 defeats, 0.6 points per game and 4 scored vs 8 conceded; Young Boys in their last 5 have 1 win, 2 draws, 1.0 point per game and 8 goals scored. Given the home statistical edge (67% home win rate vs Young Boys’ 28% away win rate) and superior shot, xG and goals-against averages, I favor a Thun victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes appears more likely as both teams have high season BTTS rates: Thun 61% and Young Boys 72%, versus a league average of 66%. Goal metrics support this: Thun score 2.22 goals per game (xG 1.94) and concede 1.22, while Young Boys score 1.61 (xG 1.46) and concede 2.28, indicating both sides have scoring potential. Thun create more opportunities (16.56 shots and 6.5 on target) than Young Boys (13.17 and 4.17), with similar conversion rates 13% vs 12%, so the hosts should find a way to score against the opponents' weaker defense. Factors reducing probability include Thun’s recent form in the last 5 matches (last 5: 0.8 goals per game and BTTS only 40%) and the fact Thun have kept a clean sheet in 39% of fixtures; however Young Boys have only 6% clean sheets this season, which still favors BTTS. Considering the above figures and the league average goals of 3.24, I estimate BTTS chance at 72% for Yes and 28% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Season-long metrics indicate attacking strength from both sides: Thun averages 2.22 goals per game, Young Boys 1.61, and the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 89% for Thun and 94% for Young Boys. xG values also support scoring: xG for Thun is 1.94 versus 1.46 for Young Boys, while xG against is 1.34 (Thun) and 1.66 (Young Boys), yielding projected xG of ~1.80 for the home side and 1.40 for the visitors (total 3.20). Young Boys concede 2.28 goals on average away, Thun has only 39% clean sheets, and BTTS is 61% (Thun) and 72% (Young Boys), which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally Thun average 16.56 shots and 6.5 on target per game versus 13.17 and 4.17 for Young Boys, and the league average is 3.24 goals per match, so the strongest signal is Over 2.5. Considering the projected 3.20 goals, season-long Over 2.5 at 72% for both teams and high BTTS, I recommend backing the Over on the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Thun led at the break in 39% of their matches this season, while Young Boys were leading at half-time in only 22% and were trailing at the break in 44% of games, suggesting a home advantage in the first 45 minutes. The hosts average 0.78 goals by half-time and have kept a clean sheet at the break in 78% of matches, whereas Young Boys concede an average of 1.11 goals by half-time; additionally Thun’s xG is 1.94 compared to Young Boys’ average xG conceded of 1.66, with 6.5 shots on target for the home side versus 4.17 for the visitors. Over the full match Thun win 50% of home games versus 28% away wins for Young Boys, so the hosts have a superior conversion and offensive pressure across 90 minutes. Based on this, the strongest signal is the 1/1 scenario (Thun leads at half-time and wins full-time), which I assign a 31% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Thun | Young Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Young Boys is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Thun · 1 pts / match - Young Boys
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Thun is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
2.11 goals / match - Thun · 1.92 goals / match - Young Boys
Thun is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Thun · 1.75 goals / match - Young Boys
Thun scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while Young Boys keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
Young Boys scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while Thun keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Thun
Over / Under - Young Boys
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Thun is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Thun · 1.33 pts / match - Young Boys
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Thun - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Young Boys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Thun
Young Boys
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Thun | Liga | Young Boys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.31 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 66% | • 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 19% | ▲ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Thun 2 - 0 - 1 Young Boys. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Thun vs Young Boys?
The Super League match finished Thun 3:8 Young Boys. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Thun and Young Boys?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Thun won 2, Young Boys won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Thun vs Young Boys?
Thun score 2.11 goals per game on average and Young Boys 1.92. The Super League average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Thun's matches and 67% of Young Boys's.
What form are Thun and Young Boys in?
Over the last 5 games Thun have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Young Boys 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thun vs Young Boys?
The statistical background for Thun vs Young Boys — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.