Tigres UANL vs Puebla: match statistics
Tigres UANL vs Puebla: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tigres UANL played Puebla in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 27 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Tigres UANL: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Puebla: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tigres UANL scores 1.00 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Puebla scores 1.22 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tigres UANL 56%, Puebla 56%. Over 2.5: Tigres UANL 44%, Puebla 33%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Tigres UANL has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.45. Tigres UANL: 16.4 shots per match, Puebla: 13.3.
Match halves
Tigres UANL: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.56. Puebla: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Tigres UANL: 31-45+ (2 goals). Puebla: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tigres UANL remain unbeaten at home, posting a record of 1 win and 2 draws in three matches while averaging 1.67 goals scored. The hosts also create significantly better chances: their average xG stands at 1.93, compared with Puebla’s 1.53 away from home, while Puebla’s defence allows opponents an xG of 1.72. Tigres average 19 shots and 56% possession at home, which should enable them to dictate the tempo against a Puebla side averaging 41% possession. The visitors are nevertheless dangerous on the road, having won 3 of their last 5 away matches and scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game, so a closely contested match cannot be ruled out. However, the superior quality of chances created and Tigres’ home solidity point slightly towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Recent form clearly lowers the likelihood of goals from both sides: Tigres recorded BTTS - Yes in only 20% of their last 5 matches, while Puebla did so in 40%, compared with the league average of 56%. The hosts scored just 0.6 goals per match during this period and conceded the same number, indicating a run of very tight, low-scoring games. Puebla averaged 1.0 goal, but their opponents kept a clean sheet in 40% of the season’s matches, so the visitors are not guaranteed to score. Tigres have not kept a clean sheet this season, yet their 75% BTTS rate across the campaign contrasts with their recent results, making the current trend more significant. Despite relatively high xG figures from the last five matches—1.59 and 1.66—the actual finishing of both teams was limited, slightly favoring the BTTS - No scenario, meaning that at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is the low-scoring trend in recent results: Tigres scored and conceded 0.6 goals per match across their previous five games, and none of those five matches produced more than 2 goals. Over the same period, Puebla averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, with just 20% of matches featuring at least three goals. Season-long data also supports a cautious scenario, as 75% of Tigres’ matches and 80% of Puebla’s matches finished with Under 3.5 goals. The high xG figures of 1.35 and 1.53 for the two teams’ attacking output suggest potential for at least two goals, but actual finishing remains limited to averages of 1.25 goals for Tigres and 1.20 for Puebla. The projected total of 2.10 goals gives a clear edge to the Under 3.5 goals pick, as at least four goals are required for this bet to lose.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a cautious start: Tigres have been level at half-time in 100% of their last five matches, while Puebla have done so in 60%. During this period, both teams scored just 0.2 goals per match before the break, compared with averages of 0.4 first-half goals for Tigres and 0.8 for Puebla. After the interval, Puebla’s advantage over the full season is not clear-cut, despite the visitors posting 1.53 xG compared with Tigres’ 1.35, as the hosts have recently conceded only 0.6 goals per match and 60% of their last five games ended in draws. The draw/draw scenario best combines the very high probability of a level first half with an evenly balanced final result, although a draw at half-time followed by a Puebla win remains a realistic alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tigres UANL | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Puebla is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Tigres UANL · 1.4 pts / match - Puebla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Puebla is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Tigres UANL · 1.22 goals / match - Puebla
Puebla is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Tigres UANL · 1.22 goals / match - Puebla
Tigres UANL scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Puebla scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Tigres UANL keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tigres UANL
Over / Under - Puebla
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Puebla is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / match - Tigres UANL · 1.44 pts / match - Puebla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tigres UANL - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Puebla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tigres UANL
Puebla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Tigres UANL | Liga | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 57% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 68% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tigres UANL 1 - 0 - 1 Puebla. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
The Liga MX match finished Tigres UANL 1:0 Puebla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tigres UANL and Puebla?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tigres UANL won 1, Puebla won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
Tigres UANL score 1.00 goals per game on average and Puebla 1.22. The Liga MX average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Tigres UANL's matches and 56% of Puebla's.
What form are Tigres UANL and Puebla in?
Over the last 5 games Tigres UANL have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Puebla 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
The statistical background for Tigres UANL vs Puebla — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.