Tijuana vs Atlas: match statistics
Tijuana vs Atlas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tijuana played Atlas in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 26 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Caliente. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Tijuana: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlas: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tijuana scores 1.50 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Atlas scores 1.44 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tijuana 50%, Atlas 67%. Over 2.5: Tijuana 50%, Atlas 44%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Tijuana: 12.6 shots per match, Atlas: 12.0.
Match halves
Tijuana: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Atlas: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Tijuana: 76-90+ (4 goals). Atlas: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tijuana have an excellent home record, winning 80% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.6, while Atlas allow opponents 1.75 goals per away game. The hosts also create higher-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.46 compared to Atlas’s 1.27, and hold a clear advantage in shots, averaging 14.2 to 10.25 per match. However, Atlas are dangerous offensively away from home, scoring an average of 2 goals, finding the net in every away game and converting 20% of their shots, which gives them a strong chance of scoring. Recent form nevertheless favours Tijuana, who have collected 7 points from their last five matches compared to Atlas’s 5, while also winning 4 of their last 5 home fixtures. The hosts’ defensive edge and more consistent form point towards a narrow Tijuana victory, although an open game is likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear, as Tijuana has recorded BTTS in 80% of its matches this season, while Atlas has done so in 80% of its last five games. During this run, Tijuana has averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, whereas Atlas has scored 1.4 goals and conceded 2.0, indicating regular chances at both ends. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match this season, while Atlas concedes an average of 1.75 goals per game, so Tijuana should have a solid chance of finding the net. Atlas is particularly dangerous offensively, averaging 2.0 goals this season and registering 4.75 shots on target per match compared with Tijuana’s 2.8. The xG from the last five matches stands at 1.47 for Tijuana and 1.46 for Atlas, making the BTTS - Yes scenario more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The Over 1.5 goals line is strongly supported, as at least 2 goals were scored in 100% of Tijuana’s matches and in 75% of Atlas’ matches. Tijuana have yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Atlas score an average of 2.0 goals. The chance-quality model projects approximately 1.48 goals for the home side and 1.42 for the visitors, for a total of 2.90 goals. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 3.0 goals scored per game, while 60% of Tijuana’s matches and 80% of Atlas’ matches ended with both teams scoring. This clearly supports Over 1.5 goals, whereas the 2.5 and 3.5 lines remain more exposed to a scenario with exactly two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point, as Tijuana were level at the break in 60% of their home matches, while Atlas recorded the same outcome in 50% of their away fixtures. However, Atlas have a clear advantage in full-time results: they won 75% of their away matches, average 2.0 goals scored on the road and collect 2.25 points per game, compared with Tijuana’s 20% win rate and 1.0 points per home match. The second half is the key factor, with Atlas averaging 1.25 goals after the break, while Tijuana score just 0.2 and lose the second half in 60% of cases. The hosts also concede an average of 1.6 goals per match and have failed to keep a clean sheet, making a balanced start followed by an away win for Atlas after half-time the most logical scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tijuana | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tijuana is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tijuana · 1 pts / match - Atlas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tijuana is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Tijuana · 1.67 goals / match - Atlas
Tijuana scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Atlas scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Tijuana keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tijuana
Over / Under - Atlas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tijuana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tijuana
Atlas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Tijuana | Liga | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tijuana 1 - 0 - 1 Atlas. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tijuana vs Atlas?
The Liga MX match finished Tijuana 2:3 Atlas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tijuana and Atlas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 1, Atlas won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tijuana vs Atlas?
Tijuana score 1.50 goals per game on average and Atlas 1.44. The Liga MX average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tijuana's matches and 67% of Atlas's.
What form are Tijuana and Atlas in?
Over the last 5 games Tijuana have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlas 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tijuana vs Atlas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tijuana vs Atlas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.