Tijuana vs Puebla: match statistics
Tijuana demonstrates a decisive home advantage, recording a 54% win rate in home matches and an impressive +18 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match at home, conceding just 0.62 goals, which translates to a 62% clean sheet rate. Puebla performs very poorly in away matches – 73% losses, just 9% wins, and a dramatic -15 goal difference. The visitors concede an average of 2.27 goals away, scoring only 0.91, and their away form (lldlllldwll) confirms significant problems outside their own stadium. The difference in average xG (1.43 for Tijuana vs 1.15 for Puebla) and a significant advantage in possession (50% vs 47%) further support the prediction of a confident home victory. Considering all statistics, Tijuana has a very high chance of securing three points in this match.
Tijuana vs Puebla: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tijuana played Puebla in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Tijuana: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Puebla: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tijuana scores 1.67 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Puebla scores 1.10 and concedes 2.14. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tijuana 50%, Puebla 52%. Over 2.5: Tijuana 54%, Puebla 62%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Tijuana has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.28. Tijuana: 11.9 shots per match, Puebla: 11.6.
Match halves
Tijuana: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.04. Puebla: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Tijuana: 46-60 (10 goals). Puebla: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tijuana demonstrates a decisive home advantage, recording a 54% win rate in home matches and an impressive +18 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match at home, conceding just 0.62 goals, which translates to a 62% clean sheet rate. Puebla performs very poorly in away matches – 73% losses, just 9% wins, and a dramatic -15 goal difference. The visitors concede an average of 2.27 goals away, scoring only 0.91, and their away form (lldlllldwll) confirms significant problems outside their own stadium. The difference in average xG (1.43 for Tijuana vs 1.15 for Puebla) and a significant advantage in possession (50% vs 47%) further support the prediction of a confident home victory. Considering all statistics, Tijuana has a very high chance of securing three points in this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tijuana | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Puebla is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Tijuana · 1.4 pts / match - Puebla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tijuana is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Tijuana · 1.1 goals / match - Puebla
Tijuana is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Tijuana · 2.14 goals / match - Puebla
Tijuana scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Puebla scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Tijuana keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tijuana
Over / Under - Puebla
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tijuana is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Tijuana · 0.76 pts / match - Puebla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tijuana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Puebla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tijuana
Puebla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Tijuana | Liga | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.04 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tijuana 0 - 0 - 1 Puebla. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tijuana vs Puebla?
The Liga MX match finished Tijuana 0:0 Puebla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tijuana vs Puebla?
Tijuana score 1.67 goals per game on average and Puebla 1.10. The Liga MX average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tijuana's matches and 52% of Puebla's.
What form are Tijuana and Puebla in?
Over the last 5 games Tijuana have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Puebla 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tijuana vs Puebla?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


