Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: match statistics
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tirana played Egnatia Rrogozhinë in Superliga (Albania). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Tirana: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tirana scores 0.83 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Egnatia Rrogozhinë scores 1.23 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tirana 47%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 33%. Over 2.5: Tirana 27%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 30%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Egnatia Rrogozhinë has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.11. Tirana: 8.2 shots per match, Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 11.2.
Match halves
Tirana: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.43. Egnatia Rrogozhinë: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Tirana: 0-15 (7 goals). Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is the favorite for this match: they sit 2nd in the table versus Tirana in 9th and have 37 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 25. In the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 8 goals and remain unbeaten (2-3-0) averaging 1.8 points per match, while Tirana scored 5 goals in their last five (2-1-2) and average 1.4 points per match. Defensively Egnatia hold a clear advantage: they concede 0.73 goals on average away with 47% clean sheets, whereas Tirana concede 1.20 at home with 27% clean sheets; on the season that is 22 goals conceded by Egnatia versus 42 by Tirana. The quality of created chances is similar (avg xG 1.21 for Egnatia vs 1.19 for Tirana), but Tirana allow more high-value chances against (avg xG against 1.53 vs 1.22), which boosts the visitors’ prospects. Additionally Egnatia have higher possession (55% vs 48%), more shots on target per game (3.33 vs 3.07) and a lower share of matches without scoring (40% vs 47%), therefore I forecast a win for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick "no" because both teams have high clean sheet rates: 47% for Tirana and 47% for Egnatia, and season BTTS rates are below the league average (Tirana 40%, Egnatia 27% vs. league 45%). Seasonal goal averages show imbalance: Tirana scores 1.67 and concedes 0.73 per match, while Egnatia scores only 0.80 and concedes 0.73, so the visitors score less frequently across the season. xG indicates moderate chance creation for both sides (xG Tirana 1.61 vs xG conceded by Egnatia 1.22; xG Egnatia 1.21 vs xG conceded by Tirana 0.90) and Tirana has better efficiency (4.87 shots on target and 13% conversion vs 3.33 and 9% for Egnatia), which increases the likelihood of only the home side scoring. In the last 5 matches Tirana had BTTS in 20% of games, Egnatia in 40%, and away teams averaged 1.6 goals vs 1.0 for Tirana in the last 5; however, the league average goals of 2.08 and a high clean sheet rate of 68% together support a scenario where only one team finds the net. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 38% (yes) and 62% (no) and recommend the "no" bet as the stronger signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Tirana has xG_for 1.61 and Egnatia xG_against 1.22, yielding about (1.61+1.22)/2 ≈ 1.42 expected goals for the home side; Egnatia (xG_for 1.21) and Tirana’s defense (xG_against 0.90) give ≈1.05 for the away side, totaling ≈2.47 goals. A Poisson distribution with mean 2.47 indicates probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈ 71%, Over 2.5 ≈ 45% and Over 3.5 ≈ 24%, so the strongest signal is Under 3.5 (≈76%). Seasonal data support a moderate low-scoring outcome: seasonOver35Percentage_home 27% vs away 7% (i.e., 73% and 93% of matches under 3.5) and both teams concede on average 0.73 goals per match. Additionally, Tirana averages 1.67 goals from 4.87 SOT with a 13% conversion, while Egnatia averages 0.8 goals from 3.33 SOT with a 9% conversion, suggesting a limited likelihood of goals above 3.5. Conclusion: the expected 2.47 goals combined with historically low >3.5 percentages (27%/7%) make Under 3.5 the safest and strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Tirana win at full-time (X/1). Half-time statistics show Tirana were level at the break in 5 of 15 matches (33%) and Egnatia in 6 of 15 (40%), with the away side being level at half-time in 80% of their last five games, which increases the probability of a tie after 45 minutes. After the break Tirana hold the advantage: they average 1.2 goals in the second half versus 0.4 for Egnatia and register 60% wins in second halves compared to 20% for the visitors, and they have scored 10 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 1 for Egnatia, indicating strong finishing. Tirana’s offensive potential is supported by xG of 1.61 versus 1.21 for the visitors, on average 13.27 shots against 9.2 and a higher conversion rate of 13% vs 9%, while season goals per game of 1.67 vs 0.8 also favor the home side. Considering the low number of first-half goals (AVGHT 0.87 vs 0.67) and the hosts’ strong second-half performance, the HT/FT scenario X/1 receives the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tirana · 1.6 pts / match - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Tirana · 1.23 goals / match - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 92% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Tirana · 0.73 goals / match - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Tirana scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Egnatia Rrogozhinë keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 matches).
Egnatia Rrogozhinë scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Tirana keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tirana
Over / Under - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Tirana · 1.47 pts / match - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tirana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tirana
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Tirana | Liga | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.23 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 33% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 34% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 62% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- TiranaGoalDiar Halili
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Tirana 1 - 0 - 2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The Superliga match finished Tirana 3:1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tirana won 1, Egnatia Rrogozhinë won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Tirana score 0.83 goals per game on average and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.23. The Superliga average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Tirana's matches and 33% of Egnatia Rrogozhinë's.
What form are Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë in?
Over the last 5 games Tirana have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The statistical background for Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.