Tiszakécske vs Ajka: match statistics
Tiszakécske vs Ajka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tiszakécske played Ajka in NB II (Hungary). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Városi Stadion. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Tiszakécske: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Ajka: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tiszakécske scores 2.13 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Ajka scores 1.29 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tiszakécske 75%, Ajka 43%. Over 2.5: Tiszakécske 50%, Ajka 29%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Tiszakécske has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.40. Tiszakécske: 6.6 shots per match, Ajka: 8.0.
Match halves
Tiszakécske: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.88. Ajka: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Tiszakécske: 31-45+ (5 goals). Ajka: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB II: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tiszakécske have a clear attacking edge at home, averaging 2 goals per match with an xG of 2,09, while Ajka score 1 goal away from home with an xG of 1,71. The hosts average 16 shots per home game, including 10 on target, compared with 13 and 7 respectively for the visitors, boosting their chances of creating more opportunities. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but Tiszakécske scored 13 goals in that span, compared with Ajka's 6. The defences are evenly matched in terms of average goals conceded in their respective conditions, at 0,5 per match, although the hosts have conceded as many as 8 goals in their last 5 outings. Tiszakécske's 75% home win rate points to a home victory, but Ajka's 50% away draw rate and the hosts' recent defensive issues leave a real possibility of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The “No” selection has a slight edge, as Ajka concede an average of just 0.5 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in 50% of their games, which could shut out the hosts. Both teams scored in 50% of Ajka’s matches, but this has happened just once in their last five, despite the visitors averaging 1.2 goals. Tiszakécske offers a strong case for the opposite outcome: over their last five matches, they scored an average of 2.6 goals, conceded 1.6, and both teams scored in 80% of those games. Ajka also pose a threat, having failed to score in none of their matches so far, so the edge for BTTS - No remains slight. The decisive factor is the visitors’ defensive record: with an average of 0.5 goals conceded, it seems more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: all of Ajka’s matches so far and 80% of Tiszakécske’s matches have ended with no more than three goals. Ajka score an average of 1.0 goals and concede 0.5, although their xG of 1.71 suggests they can create more chances than the results indicate. Tiszakécske score an average of 1.4 goals, rising to 2.6 across their last five matches; this attacking improvement reduces confidence in the prediction. Even so, Ajka have conceded an average of 1.0 goals in their last five matches, and the projected total of 2.5 goals offers a clearer margin for Under 3.5 than for Under 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ajka led at the break in both of their away matches so far, averaging 1.0 first-half goals, while Tiszakécske were ahead after 45 minutes in 2 of their 5 home games. The visitors are also creating more chances: their average xG is 1.71 compared with 1.19 for the hosts, and they record 7.0 shots on target per match versus 3.75. Ajka’s record of avoiding defeat in both away games, while conceding an average of just 0.5 goals, supports the case for them to hold on to their lead. The risk to the 2/2 pick is the hosts’ strong second-half performance: they have won the second half in 60% of their home matches, whereas Ajka failed to score in that period in either of their two away games. Despite the potential for a turnaround, Ajka’s advantage in chance creation and their away record to date make the visitors leading at the break and winning at full time the most likely single scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tiszakécske | Ajka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 51% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.63 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tiszakécske is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Tiszakécske · 2 pts / match - Ajka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tiszakécske is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - Tiszakécske · 1.29 goals / match - Ajka
Ajka is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Tiszakécske · 0.86 goals / match - Ajka
Tiszakécske scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Ajka keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Ajka scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Tiszakécske keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tiszakécske
Over / Under - Ajka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tiszakécske is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.13 pts / match - Tiszakécske · 2 pts / match - Ajka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tiszakécske - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ajka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tiszakécske
Ajka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB II).
Teams vs league
| Tiszakécske | Liga | Ajka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 82% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tiszakécske 2 - 0 - 0 Ajka. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tiszakécske vs Ajka?
The NB II match finished Tiszakécske 4:3 Ajka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tiszakécske and Ajka?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tiszakécske won 2, Ajka won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tiszakécske vs Ajka?
Tiszakécske score 2.13 goals per game on average and Ajka 1.29. The NB II average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Tiszakécske's matches and 43% of Ajka's.
What form are Tiszakécske and Ajka in?
Over the last 5 games Tiszakécske have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Ajka 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tiszakécske vs Ajka?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tiszakécske vs Ajka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.