Tiszakécske vs Mezőkövesd-Zsóry: match statistics

Tiszakécske are showing significantly better recent form: they have picked up 8 points from their last five matches, with 2 wins and 2 draws, while Mezőkövesd-Zsóry have managed just 4 points and suffered 3 defeats. The hosts have scored 6 goals and conceded 4 during this period, whereas the visitors have netted only 3 times and conceded 5. Away from home, Mezőkövesd-Zsóry have yet to score, have lost 100% of their matches, and create chances worth just 0.73 xG on average, while allowing opponents 1.07 xG. Tiszakécske drew their only home match so far 1:1, so the hosts’ high tendency to draw increases the likelihood of a closely contested game, but the visitors’ poor finishing makes the home win the preferred outcome. The key factor will be Tiszakécske capitalising on their superior current attacking productivity against a team that are yet to find the net away from home.

The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is Mezőkövesd-Zsóry’s limited attacking output: in their last five matches, the team averaged just 0.6 goals, with an xG of 0.87. The visitors have failed to score in 100% of their matches so far this season, and their current goal record stands at 0 scored and 1 conceded. Tiszakécske offers greater attacking potential, recently averaging 1.44 xG and scoring 1.2 goals per match, while conceding just 0.8 goals per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of the hosts’ last five appearances compared with 40% for the visitors, but the away side’s poor finishing outweighs the high league average of 69%. The more likely scenario is therefore that at least one team—primarily Mezőkövesd-Zsóry—will fail to score, making BTTS - No the stronger selection.

Tiszakécske’s last five matches produced an average of 2.0 total goals, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8, while Mezőkövesd-Zsóry recorded the same 2.0-goal average after scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in just 20% of the last five matches for each team, clearly contrasting with the league average of 2.77 goals and 62% of matches featuring at least three goals. The hosts have greater attacking potential, with an xG of 1.44 across their last five outings compared with the visitors’ 0.87, but this advantage should be enough for a controlled result rather than an open game. The visitors score just 0.6 goals per match, while Tiszakécske’s defence concedes an average of only 0.8, making a four-goal or higher outcome unlikely. The strongest option is Under 3.5, supported by a projected 1.94 goals and the low-scoring profile of both teams.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Tiszakécske victory at full-time, as Mezőkövesd were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 of 5 for the hosts. Both teams averaged 0.6 goals before half-time, while Tiszakécske conceded 0.6 and the visitors just 0.4 during that period, which supports a cautious and evenly balanced opening. After the break, the form advantage shifts to the hosts: they won the second half in 60% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding just 0.2. Mezőkövesd failed to score after half-time in this sample, lost 60% of the second halves and conceded an average of 0.6 goals during them. Tiszakécske also have a clearly better recent points return, averaging 1.6 points per match compared with their opponents’ 0.8, while Mezőkövesd have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.