Tiszakécske vs Szentlőrinc SE: match statistics

Tiszakécske remain unbeaten after 6 league matches, with a record of 3 wins and 3 draws. In their last five fixtures, they scored 11 goals and averaged 2.2 points per game. At home, the hosts win 67% of their matches, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding just 0.67, while Szentlőrinc SE have lost every away match so far, allowing opponents to score an average of 3 goals. Tiszakécske’s superiority is also evident in chance creation: the hosts average 16 shots, including 10 on target, and post an xG of 2.09, compared with 8 shots, 6 on target and an xG of 1.22 for the visitors. Szentlőrinc SE are yet to keep a clean sheet away from home, while their latest run of 2 defeats in 5 matches further supports backing the hosts to make the most of their home advantage. The visitors are capable of scoring an average of 2 goals away from home, so they have a realistic chance of finding the net; however, Tiszakécske’s significantly stronger defence points towards a home win.

The case for goals from both sides is supported by Szentlőrinc’s very weak away defence: the team concedes an average of 3.0 goals, has kept no clean sheets, and Tiszakécske creates 1.73 xG at home. The hosts are also in attacking rhythm, having scored an average of 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of those games. Szentlőrinc averages 2.0 goals scored away from home, and all of its matches in this role so far have ended with both teams scoring, although the sample size is small. A certain risk to the pick is Tiszakécske’s defence, which concedes only 0.75 goals at home and has a 50% clean-sheet rate, although the hosts’ last 5 matches produced 1.2 goals conceded per game. The visitors’ xG over their last five appearances stands at 1.61, compared with the 1.41 xG conceded by Tiszakécske during this period, providing solid grounds for the away side to score at least once.

Tiszakécske have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last five matches, while Szentlőrinc have conceded 1.2 goals per game during this period, which favours the hosts’ scoring output. The home side also create chances worth an average of 1.59 xG, whereas the visitors allow opponents 1.60 xG. Szentlőrinc have their own attacking potential of 1.61 xG across their last five appearances, while Tiszakécske conceded an average of 1.2 goals during that span. The visitors’ matches have produced at least 2 goals every time, while the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 60% of the hosts’ last five games. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, as the projected total of 2.90 goals provides a clear margin above this line, although greater result volatility limits confidence in Over 2.5.

Tiszakécske have a clearly stronger home record: they average 1.0 goals scored, concede just 0.75, and have won 50% of their matches, while Szentlőrinc have lost every away game and allow opponents to score 3.0 goals per match. The hosts led at the break in 25% of their home appearances, whereas the visitors have never been ahead and were level at half-time in 100% of their away matches. Current form further strengthens Tiszakécske’s position: in their last five matches, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored, remained unbeaten, and recorded a 60% win rate. After the interval, the hosts have averaged 1.2 goals scored and conceded just 0.4 per match during this run, while the visitors have scored only 0.2 goals. The most likely scenario is therefore that Tiszakécske will establish a lead before half-time and maintain it until the end of the match.