Tiverton Town vs Evesham United: match statistics
Tiverton Town vs Evesham United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tiverton Town played Evesham United in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 31 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tiverton Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Evesham United: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tiverton Town scores 1.03 and concedes 2.46 goals per match. Evesham United scores 1.22 and concedes 1.47. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tiverton Town 46%, Evesham United 58%. Over 2.5: Tiverton Town 66%, Evesham United 47%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Evesham United has higher xG: 1.04 vs 1.02. Tiverton Town: 1.5 shots per match, Evesham United: 0.9.
Match halves
Tiverton Town: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.46. Evesham United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Tiverton Town: 0-15 (9 goals). Evesham United: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Evesham United appears marginally stronger based on season stats: more wins (9 vs 6) and more goals scored (44 vs 36). Both teams have defensive issues, but Tiverton concedes far more (GA 86) and has a high home loss rate (71%), reducing their chances. Evesham posts higher shot conversion (17% vs 3%) despite worse xG against, suggesting they finish chances. Recent five-game form is poor for both, though the visitors earn slightly more points and draw more often. Given Tiverton’s weak home form and Evesham’s superior offensive metrics, I favour an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal and league data strongly support BTTS: Tiverton 56% BTTS, Evesham 61%, league 60%. Both teams have shown defensive weakness recently (avg 2.2 and 2.6 GA in last5), and xG_against >1.3 vs both suggests high likelihood of opponent goals. Tiverton generates more chances (xG 1.15, 4.0 SOT) than Evesham (xG 0.94, 1.8 SOT), increasing the chance that the visitors will score at least once; simultaneously Evesham’s season scoring average supports them scoring against the hosts. Despite an anomaly in the hosts’ short form (last5 BTTS 0%), the preponderance of season and league indicators points to BTTS = YES.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis points to a high probability of at least two goals: Tiverton averages 1.39 goals and has xG 1.15, while Evesham shows defensive weakness (conceded 2.06, xG against 1.48). Both teams have strong season Over 1.5 rates (72% and 78%) and the league averages over 3.1 goals per game. Estimated xG for the match is ~1.32 for home and ~1.16 for away, total ~2.48, which strongly supports the 1.5 line. Signal for Over 2.5 is moderate due to divergent profiles (Evesham more often in high-scoring games); Over 3.5 is unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics indicate a high proportion of draws at half-time (drawingAtHT ~39% for home and 44% for away) and Tiverton’s superiority in the second half (ppg_2hg_home 1.5 vs ppg_2hg_away 0.56). Tiverton posts better season PPG (1.5 vs 0.67), lower average goals conceded and higher shots on target (4.0 vs 1.8), suggesting they can take control after the break. Evesham concedes frequently (seasonConcededAVG 2.06) and has weaker xG_for (0.94), increasing the likelihood of second-half goals against them. Considering Tiverton’s combined second-half advantage and frequent HT draws, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). The probability distribution reflects Tiverton’s dominance in final results with a relatively high chance of an HT draw.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tiverton Town | Evesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -8% | -7% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.70 | 1.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tiverton Town is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Tiverton Town · 0.4 pts / match - Evesham United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Evesham United is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Tiverton Town · 1.22 goals / match - Evesham United
Evesham United is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.46 goals / match - Tiverton Town · 1.47 goals / match - Evesham United
Tiverton Town scores in 51% of matches (18 of 35 matches), while Evesham United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).
Evesham United scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Tiverton Town keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tiverton Town
Over / Under - Evesham United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Evesham United is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.74 pts / match - Tiverton Town · 1.17 pts / match - Evesham United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tiverton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Evesham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tiverton Town
Evesham United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Tiverton Town | Liga | Evesham United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.49 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 60% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 61% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 84% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Tiverton TownGoalToby Stephens
- Evesham UnitedGoalAndre Wright
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tiverton Town 0 - 0 - 1 Evesham United. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tiverton Town vs Evesham United?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Tiverton Town 1:2 Evesham United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tiverton Town vs Evesham United?
Tiverton Town score 1.03 goals per game on average and Evesham United 1.22. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Tiverton Town's matches and 58% of Evesham United's.
What form are Tiverton Town and Evesham United in?
Over the last 5 games Tiverton Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Evesham United 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tiverton Town vs Evesham United?
The statistical background for Tiverton Town vs Evesham United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.