Tlaxcala vs Cancún: match statistics
Cancún clearly outperforms Tlaxcala in terms of form and efficiency. The hosts have a disastrous record in their last 5 matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and just 0.4 points per match, while the visitors average 1 point per match and boast a solid season record (10 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Tlaxcala has scored only 15 goals while conceding 31 throughout the season, indicating serious defensive and offensive issues. Cancún presents much better scoring efficiency (30 goals scored against 12 conceded) and an impressive 50% away win rate. Additionally, the visitors have a better shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%) and more clean sheets away (38%). Considering Cancún's statistical advantage and the hosts' poor form, an away victory is the most probable scenario for this match.
Tlaxcala vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tlaxcala play Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 18 January 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Tlaxcala: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Cancún: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tlaxcala scores 1.07 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.62 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tlaxcala 50%, Cancún 59%. Over 2.5: Tlaxcala 50%, Cancún 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Tlaxcala has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.39. Tlaxcala: 12.4 shots per match, Cancún: 11.3.
Match halves
Tlaxcala: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.54. Cancún: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (11 goals). Cancún: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Cancún clearly outperforms Tlaxcala in terms of form and efficiency. The hosts have a disastrous record in their last 5 matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and just 0.4 points per match, while the visitors average 1 point per match and boast a solid season record (10 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Tlaxcala has scored only 15 goals while conceding 31 throughout the season, indicating serious defensive and offensive issues. Cancún presents much better scoring efficiency (30 goals scored against 12 conceded) and an impressive 50% away win rate. Additionally, the visitors have a better shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%) and more clean sheets away (38%). Considering Cancún's statistical advantage and the hosts' poor form, an away victory is the most probable scenario for this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tlaxcala | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cancún is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Tlaxcala · 1.6 pts / match - Cancún
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cancún is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Tlaxcala · 1.62 goals / match - Cancún
Cancún is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Tlaxcala · 0.94 goals / match - Cancún
Tlaxcala scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
Cancún scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tlaxcala
Over / Under — Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Tlaxcala · 2 pts / match - Cancún
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tlaxcala
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tlaxcala | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.64 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tlaxcala 0 - 0 - 1 Cancún. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tlaxcala 1:0 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
Tlaxcala score 1.07 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.62. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tlaxcala's matches and 59% of Cancún's.
What form are Tlaxcala and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Tlaxcala have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Cancún 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tlaxcala vs Cancún: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.