Tłuchowia Tłuchowo vs Stargard Szczeciński: match statistics
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo vs Stargard Szczeciński: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo played Stargard Szczeciński in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 22 May 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Stargard Szczeciński: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scores 0.97 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Stargard Szczeciński scores 1.53 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 47%, Stargard Szczeciński 59%. Over 2.5: Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 56%, Stargard Szczeciński 59%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Stargard Szczeciński has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.32. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: 8.1 shots per match, Stargard Szczeciński: 9.3.
Match halves
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Stargard Szczeciński: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: 61-75 (10 goals). Stargard Szczeciński: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Seasonal statistics favor Stargard: the visitors scored 49 goals in the season versus 31 by Tłuchowo and recorded 10 wins compared to 8 for the hosts, while the hosts conceded 59 goals versus 50 for the visitors. In home/away terms the differences are clear — Tłuchowo averages 0.94 goals scored at home and concedes 1.69 per match, whereas Stargard averages 1.31 goals away and concedes 1.44; average xG is 1.36 for the home side and 1.43 for the visitors, with xG against 1.71 vs 1.40. The visitors generate more high-quality situations: on average 4.46 shots on target and 11.92 shots away compared to 3.87 and 10.93 for the hosts, and the share of matches without scoring is 31% for the visitors vs 44% for the hosts. In the short term Tłuchowo is offensively active (last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 10 goals scored and 9 conceded, averaging 1.6 points per match), but the defense remains unstable. Therefore I predict an away win ('2') — considering the advantage in goals (49 vs 31), superior xG (1.43 vs 1.36), higher number of shots on target (4.46 vs 3.87) and the fact that the hosts win only 19% of home matches with 56% defeats, I assess the probabilities as: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the 'both teams to score' scenario — season BTTS rates are 63% for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo and 56% for Stargard Szczeciński, both above the league average of 52%. The strongest signal comes from the home side: Tłuchowia have BTTS 100% in the last 5 matches with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Stargard have BTTS 40% in their last 5 with averages of 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. xG metrics show both teams create chances — average attacking xG is 1.54 (Tłuchowia) and 1.43 (Stargard), and season xG against is 1.14 and 1.40; additionally, in the last 5 matches the hosts have xG against 1.99, suggesting greater susceptibility to conceding. Low clean sheet percentages 19% (Tłuchowia) and 25% (Stargard), and percentages of matches without scoring 19% and 31% indicate both teams rarely keep opponents off the scoresheet, and matches over 2.5 goals occur in 69% and 50% of games, further supporting the BTTS scenario. Considering these figures and the strong home form signal, I estimate BTTS probability at 72% for 'yes' and 28% for 'no'; the recommended selection is 'yes' (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Home xG averages 1.54 versus away defense xG 1.40, and away xG is 1.43 versus home defense xG 1.14; this gives estimated 1.47 xG for the home side and 1.29 xG for the away side, totaling 2.76 expected goals. Seasonal stats confirm an offensive profile: home team has 94% of matches with over 1.5 goals, away team 75%, and BTTS rates of 63% and 56% respectively, which strongly supports Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line the signal is moderately strong — home team has 69% of matches >2.5, away team 50%, and in the last 5 matches the home side recorded 80% Over 2.5, so I estimate about 62% probability for Over 2.5. The 3.5 line is less convincing: seasonal rates 44% (home) and 38% (away) and a league average of 2.94 goals point to roughly a 41% chance for Over 3.5, so Under is the better play there. In summary, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest pick with expected goals 1.47–1.29 (sum 2.76) and high seasonal >1.5 percentages.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (home team leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time), because the home side scores on average 0.94 goals by the break versus 0.63 for the visitors and has a higher average xG of 1.54 versus 1.43. The home team led at the break in 7 matches (44%), and at their stadium the first half ends with at least one goal in 94% of games, which reduces the probability of a goalless HT. In the second half the hosts also dominate: in their last 5 matches there has been an average of 2.4 goals in second halves, with the home team scoring on average 1.2 second-half goals versus 0.4 for the visitors, suggesting maintenance or enlargement of the lead. The away team most often score late (8 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 5 for the hosts), but over the season they have a lower scoring rate of 1.31 goals per game and a conversion rate of 10% versus the home side’s 1.75 and 13%, so their chances of a turnaround are limited. Considering the home advantage in HT statistics (44% leads vs 38%), more shots on target 5.25 versus 4.46, and better form over the last 5 matches (40% wins for hosts vs 20% for visitors), I recommend the 1/1 bet as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tłuchowia Tłuchowo | Stargard Szczeciński | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo · 1.2 pts / match - Stargard Szczeciński
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stargard Szczeciński is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo · 1.53 goals / match - Stargard Szczeciński
Stargard Szczeciński is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.84 goals / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo · 1.56 goals / match - Stargard Szczeciński
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Stargard Szczeciński keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Stargard Szczeciński scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Tłuchowia Tłuchowo keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Over / Under - Stargard Szczeciński
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stargard Szczeciński is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo · 1.47 pts / match - Stargard Szczeciński
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stargard Szczeciński - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 31%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Stargard Szczeciński
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Tłuchowia Tłuchowo | Liga | Stargard Szczeciński | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.81 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 0 - 0 - 1 Stargard Szczeciński. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tłuchowia Tłuchowo vs Stargard Szczeciński?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 1:4 Stargard Szczeciński. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tłuchowia Tłuchowo vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo score 0.97 goals per game on average and Stargard Szczeciński 1.53. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's matches and 59% of Stargard Szczeciński's.
What form are Tłuchowia Tłuchowo and Stargard Szczeciński in?
Over the last 5 games Tłuchowia Tłuchowo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Stargard Szczeciński 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo vs Stargard Szczeciński: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.