Tokushima Vortis vs Imabari: match statistics
Tokushima Vortis vs Imabari: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tokushima Vortis played Imabari in J2 League (Japan). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Pocari Sweat Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tokushima Vortis: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Imabari: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tokushima Vortis scores 1.00 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Imabari scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tokushima Vortis 33%, Imabari 67%. Over 2.5: Tokushima Vortis 44%, Imabari 78%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Imabari has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.21. Tokushima Vortis: 9.9 shots per match, Imabari: 13.2.
Match halves
Tokushima Vortis: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Imabari: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Tokushima Vortis: 31-45+ (3 goals). Imabari: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J2 League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tokushima Vortis sit 9th and Imabari 19th, although both teams have won 2 of their last 5 matches. The strongest case for the hosts is their home form: they have won 3 of 4 matches without conceding, while Imabari have lost 3 of 5 away games and concede an average of 2 goals on the road. Tokushima also create slightly better chances at home, averaging 1.58 xG compared with Imabari’s 1.26 xG away, and register more shots on target: 5 versus 3.4. Caution is warranted, however, as the hosts have conceded as many as 11 goals in their last 5 matches, and their opponents’ average xG at home stands at 1.66 despite their run of clean sheets. Home advantage and Imabari’s weaker away defending ultimately point to a Tokushima win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 50% of Tokushima’s matches and 80% of Imabari’s, compared with a league average of 52%, which points towards goals at both ends. Imabari are yet to keep a clean sheet, while Tokushima concede an average of 2.0 goals per match, giving both teams a realistic chance of scoring. Their attacking potential is reflected in average xG of 1.56 for the hosts and 1.26 for the visitors, despite both sides averaging just 1.0 goal scored so far. Over their last five matches, Tokushima conceded an average of 2.2 goals and Imabari 1.8, although BTTS landed in 40% and 60% of their matches during that period, respectively. The risk of one side failing to score remains, but the poor defensive records of both teams make BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 75% of Tokushima’s matches and 100% of Imabari’s. Both teams concede an average of 2.0 goals, while Tokushima have conceded 11 goals and Imabari 9 in their last five matches. Their attacking potential also points to goals: average xG stands at 1.56 for the hosts and 1.26 for the visitors, while their opponents’ average xG conceded is 1.71 and 1.52, respectively. Over 2.5 goals is also well supported, having landed in 80% of each team’s last five matches, but the expected total of 2.95 goals offers a greater margin of safety on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears most likely: Tokushima were level at the break in 3 of 4 matches and have yet to lead, although Imabari went into half-time level in just 1 of 5 games. After the break, the advantage could shift to the home side, who average 1.0 points per match in the second half compared with the visitors’ 0.4. Tokushima also create more chances, with an average xG of 1.56 against Imabari’s 1.26, while the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet over a full match. The X/1 pick remains cautious, however, as both teams concede an average of 2.0 goals per match, and Imabari led at the break in 2 of 5 games.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tokushima Vortis | Imabari | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tokushima Vortis is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Tokushima Vortis · 1.4 pts / match - Imabari
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tokushima Vortis is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Tokushima Vortis · 2 goals / match - Imabari
Tokushima Vortis scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Imabari keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Imabari scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Tokushima Vortis keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tokushima Vortis
Over / Under - Imabari
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tokushima Vortis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Imabari - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tokushima Vortis
Imabari
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Tokushima Vortis | Liga | Imabari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 28% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Tokushima Vortis 2 - 0 - 1 Imabari. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tokushima Vortis vs Imabari?
The J2 League match finished Tokushima Vortis 1:2 Imabari. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tokushima Vortis and Imabari?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tokushima Vortis won 2, Imabari won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tokushima Vortis vs Imabari?
Tokushima Vortis score 1.00 goals per game on average and Imabari 1.00. The J2 League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Tokushima Vortis's matches and 67% of Imabari's.
What form are Tokushima Vortis and Imabari in?
Over the last 5 games Tokushima Vortis have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Imabari 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tokushima Vortis vs Imabari?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.