Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita: match statistics
Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tokushima Vortis played Oita Trinita in J2 League (Japan). The match was played on 29 August 2026. Venue: Pocari Sweat Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Tokushima Vortis: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match. Oita Trinita: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tokushima Vortis scores 0.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Oita Trinita scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tokushima Vortis 33%, Oita Trinita 33%. Over 2.5: Tokushima Vortis 33%, Oita Trinita 33%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Oita Trinita has higher xG: 1.12 vs 0.77. Tokushima Vortis: 5.7 shots per match, Oita Trinita: 9.3.
Match halves
Tokushima Vortis: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Oita Trinita: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Tokushima Vortis: 31-45+ (1 goals). Oita Trinita: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J2 League: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams drew 0:0 in their only previous match in the respective home and away roles. Neither side conceded, but neither managed to score either. Tokushima Vortis create slightly more at home, with average xG of 0.73 compared with Oita’s 0.70, although they allow opponents a higher xG: 1.96 versus 1.75. Oita have the edge in possession, averaging 52% to 45%, and register two shots on target per match, while Tokushima manage only one. On the other hand, the hosts have scored 6 goals in their last five matches, compared with 8 for the visitors, but both teams have identical records of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, averaging 1.4 points per match. Low attacking efficiency in their current home and away fixtures, combined with evenly matched chance-quality metrics, points primarily towards another draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Oita’s very poor away finishing: they average 0.0 goals, have failed to score in 100% of such matches, and create just 0.70 xG. The visitors also manage only 5.0 shots and 2.0 shots on target per game, while Tokushima concede an average of 1.0 goal at home, further limiting Oita’s chances of finding the breakthrough. Tokushima have greater attacking potential, averaging 2.0 goals and 1.33 xG at home, making a home goal with the visitors failing to score more likely than a Goal/Goal outcome. BTTS has landed in only 40% of the last five matches involving both teams, compared with a league average of 37%, further supporting the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Tokushima create significantly more chances at home than Oita do away from home: averaging 1.33 xG and 5 shots on target compared with their opponents’ 0.70 xG and 2 shots on target. At the same time, Oita have yet to concede a goal away from home, and their only away match so far has produced not even a single goal, which limits the potential scoring ceiling. In their last five matches, both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in only 40% of cases, averaging 1.2 goals scored by Tokushima and 1.6 by Oita. The projected total of 2.30 goals is below the 3.5 line, which is why Under 3.5 goals is best supported by the visitors’ defensive profile and the hosts’ moderate chance creation.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and a Tokushima win at full-time (X/1), as the hosts have been level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Oita. Tokushima create significantly more chances at home: their average xG is 1.33 versus Oita’s 0.70, while their average number of shots on target is 5.0 compared with the visitors’ 2.0. After the break, the hosts have averaged 0.6 goals scored and conceded just 0.4 in their last five matches, whereas Oita have scored 0.4 and allowed opponents to score 0.8. A cautious start is also supported by league trends, with only 33% of first halves featuring over 1.5 goals, while home advantage should enable Tokushima to secure the turnaround in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tokushima Vortis | Oita Trinita | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oita Trinita is 303% better for: last-5 form.
0.33 pts / match - Tokushima Vortis · 1.33 pts / match - Oita Trinita
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oita Trinita is 303% better for: goals scored per match.
0.33 goals / match - Tokushima Vortis · 1.33 goals / match - Oita Trinita
Oita Trinita is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Tokushima Vortis · 0.67 goals / match - Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Oita Trinita keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Oita Trinita scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Tokushima Vortis keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tokushima Vortis
Over / Under - Oita Trinita
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oita Trinita is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Tokushima Vortis · 1.33 pts / match - Oita Trinita
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tokushima Vortis - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Oita Trinita - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tokushima Vortis
Oita Trinita
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Tokushima Vortis | Liga | Oita Trinita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 34% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tokushima Vortis 1 - 1 - 0 Oita Trinita. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita?
The J2 League match finished Tokushima Vortis 1:0 Oita Trinita. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tokushima Vortis and Oita Trinita?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tokushima Vortis won 1, Oita Trinita won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita?
Tokushima Vortis score 0.33 goals per game on average and Oita Trinita 1.33. The J2 League average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Tokushima Vortis's matches and 33% of Oita Trinita's.
What form are Tokushima Vortis and Oita Trinita in?
Over the last 5 games Tokushima Vortis have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Oita Trinita 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.