Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tokushima Vortis play V-Varen Nagasaki in J2 League (Japan). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 06:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Tokushima Vortis: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. V-Varen Nagasaki: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tokushima Vortis scores 1.15 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.66 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.46 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tokushima Vortis 33%, V-Varen Nagasaki 66%. Over 2.5: Tokushima Vortis 18%, V-Varen Nagasaki 53%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

V-Varen Nagasaki has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.37. Tokushima Vortis: 12.1 shots per match, V-Varen Nagasaki: 13.7.

Match halves

Tokushima Vortis: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53. V-Varen Nagasaki: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.08.

Goals by minute

Tokushima Vortis: 31-45+ (14 goals). V-Varen Nagasaki: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J2 League: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
17Shots7
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
4Shots on target2
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
1.75xG0.88
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
8Corners4
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
55Dangerous attacks40
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
13Fouls12
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3Cards3
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
1.15Goals scored / match1.66
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.65Goals conceded / match1.16
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
54%Average possession55%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3.7Shots on target / match5.05
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.1Shots per match13.71
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3.7Shots on target5.05
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
9.5%Shot conversion12.1%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
54%Possession55%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
1.37xG for1.63
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
1.25xG against1.36
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Shooting quality

Tokushima Vortis: BalancedV-Varen Nagasaki: Balanced
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
Accuracy (shots on target)31%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tokushima Vortis
WWDDL
Season result split
45% W30% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-12-10
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-6-5
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
V-Varen Nagasaki
DLWWD
Season result split
50% W34% R16% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-13-6
1.84 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-7-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

V-Varen Nagasaki is 44% better for: goals scored per match.

1.15 goals / match - Tokushima Vortis · 1.66 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Tokushima Vortis is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.65 goals / match - Tokushima Vortis · 1.16 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Tokushima Vortis scoring profile: strong

Tokushima Vortis scores in 70% of matches (28 of 40 matches), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

V-Varen Nagasaki scoring profile: strong

V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Tokushima Vortis keeps a clean sheet in 48% (19 of 40 matches).

46Goals scored (season)63
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
26Goals conceded (season)44
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
1.8Average goals in match2.82
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
8Goals scored (last 5)8
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal87%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
30%2 goals50%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
10%3 goals18%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
5%4 goals8%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal74%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
10%2 goals24%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3%3 goals13%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0%4 goals5%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
Tokushima Vortis - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 40 matches
66%
V-Varen Nagasaki - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.25 of 38 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time29%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3%BTTS in both halves5%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
15%Scored in both halves34%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

BTTS and goal count

15%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
80%BTTS - last 560%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
18%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tokushima Vortis is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / match - Tokushima Vortis · 1.16 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Tokushima Vortis - half-time state
33% leading55% draw13% trailing
V-Varen Nagasaki - half-time state
24% leading45% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per match (1st half)1.16
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.28Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.26
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
78%Clean sheet before half-time42%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
60%No goal before half-time50%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)2.05
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)1.08
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.9Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
65%Clean sheet after half-time66%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
55%No goal after half-time29%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Tokushima Vortis - second-half results

35% W40% R25% P
61
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results

61% W24% R16% P
44
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
78
Second-half points
+23
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding208%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tokushima Vortis - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
V-Varen Nagasaki - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tokushima Vortis
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
8
5
16-30
14
3
31-45
9
4
46-60
7
7
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

V-Varen Nagasaki
ScoredConceded
8
10
0-15
6
4
16-30
8
12
31-45
10
4
46-60
15
7
61-75
16
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tokushima Vortis

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-24.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

V-Varen Nagasaki

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).

Teams vs league

Tokushima VortisLigaV-Varen Nagasaki
Average goals in match 1.802.46 2.82
Both teams scored 33%51% 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 18%45% 53%
Clean sheets 48%29% 26%
Goal before half-time 53%68% 79%
Goal after half-time 68%74% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.46
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.29
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Tokushima Vortis 0 - 0 - 1 V-Varen Nagasaki. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 0
Tokushima Vortis

FAQ

What was the result of Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

The J2 League match finished Tokushima Vortis 1:1 V-Varen Nagasaki. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Tokushima Vortis score 1.15 goals per game on average and V-Varen Nagasaki 1.66. The J2 League average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Tokushima Vortis's matches and 66% of V-Varen Nagasaki's.

What form are Tokushima Vortis and V-Varen Nagasaki in?

Over the last 5 games Tokushima Vortis have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.