Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tokushima Vortis played V-Varen Nagasaki in J2 League (Japan). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Tokushima Vortis: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. V-Varen Nagasaki: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tokushima Vortis scores 1.19 and concedes 0.62 goals per match. V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.68 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.45 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tokushima Vortis 30%, V-Varen Nagasaki 65%. Over 2.5: Tokushima Vortis 19%, V-Varen Nagasaki 54%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

V-Varen Nagasaki has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.34. Tokushima Vortis: 11.8 shots per match, V-Varen Nagasaki: 13.9.

Match halves

Tokushima Vortis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.54. V-Varen Nagasaki: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.08.

Goals by minute

Tokushima Vortis: 31-45+ (13 goals). V-Varen Nagasaki: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J2 League: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
17Shots7
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
4Shots on target2
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
1.75xG0.88
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
8Corners4
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
55Dangerous attacks40
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
13Fouls12
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3Cards3
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
1.19Goals scored / match1.68
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.62Goals conceded / match1.16
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
53%Average possession55%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3.7Shots on target / match5.14
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.84Shots per match13.89
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3.7Shots on target5.14
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
10%Shot conversion12.1%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
53%Possession55%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
1.34xG for1.65
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
1.28xG against1.35
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Shooting quality

Tokushima Vortis: BalancedV-Varen Nagasaki: Balanced
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
Accuracy (shots on target)31%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tokushima Vortis
WLDWW
Season result split
49% W27% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-10-9
1.73 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
V-Varen Nagasaki
WDLWW
Season result split
51% W32% D16% L
Season (W-D-L)
19-12-6
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-6-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

V-Varen Nagasaki is 41% better for: goals scored per match.

1.19 goals / match - Tokushima Vortis · 1.68 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Tokushima Vortis is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.62 goals / match - Tokushima Vortis · 1.16 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Tokushima Vortis scoring profile: strong

Tokushima Vortis scores in 70% of matches (26 of 37 matches), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 27% (10 of 37 matches).

V-Varen Nagasaki scoring profile: strong

V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 86% of matches (32 of 37 matches), while Tokushima Vortis keeps a clean sheet in 51% (19 of 37 matches).

44Goals scored (season)62
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
23Goals conceded (season)43
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
1.81Average goals in match2.84
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
10Goals scored (last 5)11
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal86%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
32%2 goals51%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
11%3 goals19%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
5%4 goals8%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

How often they concede at least...

49%1 goal73%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
11%2 goals24%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3%3 goals14%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0%4 goals5%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

30%
Tokushima Vortis - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 37 matches
65%
V-Varen Nagasaki - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.24 of 37 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time30%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3%BTTS in both halves5%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
16%Scored in both halves35%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

BTTS and goal count

16%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
40%BTTS - last 540%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

51%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
19%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tokushima Vortis is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.54 pts / match - Tokushima Vortis · 1.19 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Tokushima Vortis - half-time state
32% leading57% draw11% trailing
V-Varen Nagasaki - half-time state
24% leading46% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.54Points per match (1st half)1.19
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.59
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.92Average goals (1st half)1.27
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
78%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
59%No goal before half-time49%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

After half-time (2nd half)

1.49Points per match (2nd half)2.03
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)1.08
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.35Goals conceded (2nd half)0.49
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
0.89Average goals (2nd half)1.57
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
68%Clean sheet after half-time65%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki
54%No goal after half-time30%
Tokushima VortisV-Varen Nagasaki

Tokushima Vortis - second-half results

35% W43% D22% L
57
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding153%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results

59% W24% D16% L
44
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
75
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding213%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tokushima Vortis - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+70
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
V-Varen Nagasaki - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tokushima Vortis
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
8
4
16-30
13
3
31-45
9
4
46-60
7
5
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

V-Varen Nagasaki
ScoredConceded
8
10
0-15
6
4
16-30
8
11
31-45
10
4
46-60
14
7
61-75
16
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.32
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tokushima Vortis

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-23.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

V-Varen Nagasaki

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).

Teams vs league

Tokushima VortisLigaV-Varen Nagasaki
Average goals in match 1.812.45 2.84
Both teams scored 30%51% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 19%45% 54%
Clean sheets 51%29% 27%
Goal before half-time 51%68% 78%
Goal after half-time 65%74% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.45
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Tokushima VortisGoalDaiki WatariAssist: Naoki Kanuma
  2. V-Varen NagasakiYellow cardHayato Teruyama
  3. Tokushima VortisYellow cardShunto Kodama
  4. Tokushima VortisSubstitutionOn: Lawrence David IzuchukwuOff: Daiki Watari
  5. V-Varen NagasakiGoalHijiri OnagaAssist: Ryogo Yamasaki
  6. V-Varen NagasakiSubstitutionOn: Kazuki KushibikiOff: Hayato Teruyama
  7. V-Varen NagasakiYellow cardTsubasa Kasayanagi
  8. Tokushima VortisYellow cardJumma Miyazaki
  9. Tokushima VortisYellow cardLawrence David Izuchukwu
  10. V-Varen NagasakiYellow cardRyogo Yamasaki

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Tokushima Vortis 0 - 0 - 1 V-Varen Nagasaki. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 0
Tokushima Vortis

FAQ

What was the result of Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

The J2 League match finished Tokushima Vortis 1:1 V-Varen Nagasaki. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Tokushima Vortis score 1.19 goals per game on average and V-Varen Nagasaki 1.68. The J2 League average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Tokushima Vortis's matches and 65% of V-Varen Nagasaki's.

What form are Tokushima Vortis and V-Varen Nagasaki in?

Over the last 5 games Tokushima Vortis have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and V-Varen Nagasaki 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.