Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: match statistics
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tokyo Verdy played Sanfrecce Hiroshima in J1 League (Japan). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Tokyo Verdy: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tokyo Verdy scores 0.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores 2.50 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tokyo Verdy 50%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50%. Over 2.5: Tokyo Verdy 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 63%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has higher xG: 2.36 vs 1.01. Tokyo Verdy: 9.8 shots per match, Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 20.8.
Match halves
Tokyo Verdy: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.38. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Tokyo Verdy: 0-15 (1 goals). Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while 19th-placed Tokyo Verdy have managed just 1 win over the same period. Away from home, the visitors average 1.75 goals and 7.25 shots on target per match; the hosts score just 0.6 goals at home, with 3 shots on target. Sanfrecce’s superior chance quality is reflected in their away xG of 2.61, compared with Tokyo’s 1.22 xG at home. Verdy’s defence concedes an average of 1.8 goals at home and has yet to keep a clean sheet there, while the visitors limit opponents to chances worth an average xG of just 0.75 in away matches. Although Sanfrecce have won 50% of their away games—not all of them—the overall statistics clearly point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 60% of each team's last 5 matches, offering a moderate indication that both sides could score. Sanfrecce have a clear attacking edge: over this period, they averaged 2.8 goals from an xG of 2.26, while Tokyo Verdy scored 0.8 goals from an xG of 1.35. The hosts may still find a way to goal, as the visitors conceded an average of 1.0 goal across their last 5 matches. The strongest argument against BTTS is Sanfrecce's defence, which allowed an xG of just 0.8 per match during this period, along with the visitors keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Therefore, I’m backing BTTS - Yes, but only by a narrow margin, as Tokyo Verdy’s goal remains uncertain.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Tokyo Verdy matches and 50% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima matches. The visitors have averaged 2.8 goals across their last 5 matches, while the hosts have conceded 1.2 goals per game over the same period. Tokyo, meanwhile, has scored just 0.8 goals per game in its last 5 appearances, but averages an xG of 2.11 at home, giving reason to expect them to contribute to the scoreline as well. A projected total of 3.10 goals points to at least two goals, but with Tokyo averaging 0.8 goals per game recently, the 2.5 line is less certain.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win appears to be the most likely outcome, although Tokyo Verdy’s strong home results leave considerable uncertainty. Tokyo Verdy were level at the break in four of their last five matches and did not score in the first half in any of them, while Sanfrecce were level at half-time in half of their away matches. The visitors’ current form points to an advantage after the break: they have won four of their last five matches and averaged 1.6 goals in the second halves, compared with Tokyo Verdy’s 0.8. Sanfrecce average 2.61 xG away from home, against 2.11 xG for the hosts at home, further supporting the prospect of a late decision in the visitors’ favour. The risk to this pick is Tokyo Verdy’s home record: they led at the break in three of their four matches and won all three, so the 1/1 scenario also carries significant probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tokyo Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Tokyo Verdy · 2 pts / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 400% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Tokyo Verdy · 2.5 goals / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Tokyo Verdy · 0.75 goals / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Tokyo Verdy scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Tokyo Verdy keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tokyo Verdy
Over / Under - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 198% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Tokyo Verdy · 1.88 pts / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tokyo Verdy - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tokyo Verdy
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Tokyo Verdy | Liga | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 87% | • 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tokyo Verdy 0 - 0 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The J1 League match finished Tokyo Verdy 0:2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Tokyo Verdy score 0.50 goals per game on average and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.50. The J1 League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tokyo Verdy's matches and 50% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's.
What form are Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in?
Over the last 5 games Tokyo Verdy have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.