Japan - J1 LeagueAjinomoto StadiumData current as of 18 October 2026

Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tokyo play Kashiwa Reysol in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 21 October 2026. Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium.

Current form

Tokyo: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Kashiwa Reysol: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tokyo scores 2.10 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Kashiwa Reysol scores 2.20 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tokyo 30%, Kashiwa Reysol 70%. Over 2.5: Tokyo 50%, Kashiwa Reysol 70%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Tokyo has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.74. Tokyo: 16.0 shots per match, Kashiwa Reysol: 15.4.

Match halves

Tokyo: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.50. Kashiwa Reysol: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.60.

Goals by minute

Tokyo: 61-75 (7 goals). Kashiwa Reysol: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J1 League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.15)
(3.55)
(3.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.1Goals scored / match2.2
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
0.8Goals conceded / match1.7
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
54%Average possession58%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
5.1Shots on target / match5.2
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16Shots per match15.4
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
5.1Shots on target5.2
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
13.1%Shot conversion14.3%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
54%Possession58%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
1.78xG for1.74
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
1.1xG against1.22
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

Shooting quality

Tokyo: AttackingKashiwa Reysol: Dominant
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tokyo is 67% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Tokyo · 1.8 pts / match - Kashiwa Reysol

Tokyo
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
70% W20% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-1
2.30 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%
Kashiwa Reysol
LWWWL
Season result split
70% W0% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-0-3
2.10 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kashiwa Reysol is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

2.1 goals / match - Tokyo · 2.2 goals / match - Kashiwa Reysol

Tokyo is 113% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.8 goals / match - Tokyo · 1.7 goals / match - Kashiwa Reysol

Tokyo scoring profile: very strong

Tokyo scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Kashiwa Reysol keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

Kashiwa Reysol scoring profile: mixed

Kashiwa Reysol scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Tokyo keeps a clean sheet in 70% (7 of 10 matches).

21Goals scored (season)22
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
8Goals conceded (season)17
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
2.9Average goals in match3.9
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
12Goals scored (last 5)12
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
0Goals conceded (last 5)11
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal80%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
70%2 goals60%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
30%3 goals50%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
10%4 goals30%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

How often they concede at least...

30%1 goal90%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
20%2 goals70%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
10%3 goals10%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
10%4 goals0%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
10%BTTS in both halves0%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
40%Scored in both halves30%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS70%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
30%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
0%BTTS - last 580%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tokyo is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Tokyo · 1.1 pts / match - Kashiwa Reysol

Tokyo - half-time state
30% leading60% draw10% trailing
Kashiwa Reysol - half-time state
30% leading20% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.1
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.6
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.4
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
80%Clean sheet before half-time40%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
50%No goal before half-time50%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

After half-time (2nd half)

2.3Points per match (2nd half)1.8
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
1.5Goals scored (2nd half)1.6
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
2Average goals (2nd half)2.5
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
70%Clean sheet after half-time30%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol
10%No goal after half-time40%
TokyoKashiwa Reysol

Tokyo - second-half results

70% W20% D10% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kashiwa Reysol - second-half results

60% W0% D40% L
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tokyo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.803.00
Goals scored / match0.42.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.42.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Kashiwa Reysol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.42.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.63.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tokyo
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
7
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Kashiwa Reysol
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
7
2
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-56%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tokyo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Kashiwa Reysol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
159%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

TokyoLigaKashiwa Reysol
Average goals in match• 2.902.92▲ 3.90
Both teams scored▼ 30%57%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%54%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▲ 70%24%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%67%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%87%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Tokyo 0 - 1 - 1 Kashiwa Reysol. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 0
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
1 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol

FAQ

When do Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol play?

Tokyo face Kashiwa Reysol on 21 October 2026 in J1 League at Ajinomoto Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 0, Kashiwa Reysol won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Tokyo score 2.10 goals per game on average and Kashiwa Reysol 2.20. The J1 League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Tokyo's matches and 70% of Kashiwa Reysol's.

What form are Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol in?

Over the last 5 games Tokyo have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Kashiwa Reysol 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.