Japan - J1 LeagueGrenada National StadiumData current as of 18 September 2026

Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tokyo play Nagoya Grampus in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Grenada National Stadium.

Current form

Tokyo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Nagoya Grampus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tokyo scores 1.86 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Nagoya Grampus scores 1.00 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.97 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tokyo 43%, Nagoya Grampus 57%. Over 2.5: Tokyo 43%, Nagoya Grampus 71%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Tokyo has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.54. Tokyo: 16.0 shots per match, Nagoya Grampus: 13.6.

Match halves

Tokyo: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.14. Nagoya Grampus: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Tokyo: 31-45+ (4 goals). Nagoya Grampus: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J1 League: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.63)
(4.05)
(4.04)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.86Goals scored / match1
TokyoNagoya Grampus
1.14Goals conceded / match1.86
TokyoNagoya Grampus
53%Average possession60%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
5.14Shots on target / match3.86
TokyoNagoya Grampus

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16Shots per match13.57
TokyoNagoya Grampus
5.14Shots on target3.86
TokyoNagoya Grampus
11.6%Shot conversion7.4%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
53%Possession60%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
1.76xG for1.54
TokyoNagoya Grampus
1.17xG against1.58
TokyoNagoya Grampus

Shooting quality

Tokyo: AttackingNagoya Grampus: Balanced
TokyoNagoya Grampus
Accuracy (shots on target)32%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tokyo is 117% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Tokyo · 1.2 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus

Tokyo
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Nagoya Grampus
WWLLL
Season result split
29% W0% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-5
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tokyo is 86% better for: goals scored per match.

1.86 goals / match - Tokyo · 1 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus

Tokyo is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Tokyo · 1.86 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus

Tokyo scoring profile: very strong

Tokyo scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

Nagoya Grampus scoring profile: mixed

Nagoya Grampus scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Tokyo keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).

13Goals scored (season)7
TokyoNagoya Grampus
8Goals conceded (season)13
TokyoNagoya Grampus
3Average goals in match2.86
TokyoNagoya Grampus
10Goals scored (last 5)6
TokyoNagoya Grampus
1Goals conceded (last 5)10
TokyoNagoya Grampus

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal57%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
71%2 goals29%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
14%3 goals14%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
0%4 goals0%
TokyoNagoya Grampus

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal100%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
29%2 goals57%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
14%3 goals29%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
14%4 goals0%
TokyoNagoya Grampus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time29%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
14%BTTS in both halves0%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
43%Scored in both halves29%
TokyoNagoya Grampus

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
20%BTTS - last 560%
TokyoNagoya Grampus

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
TokyoNagoya Grampus

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
TokyoNagoya Grampus

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tokyo is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - Tokyo · 0.43 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus

Tokyo - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing
Nagoya Grampus - half-time state
0% leading43% draw57% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)0.43
TokyoNagoya Grampus
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.29
TokyoNagoya Grampus
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
TokyoNagoya Grampus
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.14
TokyoNagoya Grampus
71%Clean sheet before half-time14%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
43%No goal before half-time71%
TokyoNagoya Grampus

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.14
TokyoNagoya Grampus
1.14Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
TokyoNagoya Grampus
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)1
TokyoNagoya Grampus
1.86Average goals (2nd half)1.71
TokyoNagoya Grampus
57%Clean sheet after half-time43%
TokyoNagoya Grampus
14%No goal after half-time43%
TokyoNagoya Grampus

Tokyo - second-half results

57% W29% D14% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nagoya Grampus - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.43
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tokyo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.60
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+3+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Nagoya Grampus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tokyo
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Nagoya Grampus
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.93
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tokyo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Nagoya Grampus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.82
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

TokyoLigaNagoya Grampus
Average goals in match 3.002.97 2.86
Both teams scored 43%60% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%54% 71%
Clean sheets 57%22% 0%
Goal before half-time 57%70% 86%
Goal after half-time 100%86% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.97
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Tokyo 1 - 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Nagoya Grampus
1 : 1
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
3 : 1
Nagoya Grampus

FAQ

When do Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus play?

Tokyo face Nagoya Grampus on 19 September 2026 in J1 League at Grenada National Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 1, Nagoya Grampus won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?

Tokyo score 1.86 goals per game on average and Nagoya Grampus 1.00. The J1 League average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Tokyo's matches and 57% of Nagoya Grampus's.

What form are Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus in?

Over the last 5 games Tokyo have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Nagoya Grampus 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?

The statistical background for Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.