Tokyo vs Urawa Reds: match statistics
Tokyo vs Urawa Reds: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tokyo played Urawa Reds in J1 League (Japan). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Tokyo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Urawa Reds: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tokyo scores 1.75 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Urawa Reds scores 2.00 and concedes 2.25. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tokyo 38%, Urawa Reds 88%. Over 2.5: Tokyo 38%, Urawa Reds 88%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Tokyo has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.53. Tokyo: 15.1 shots per match, Urawa Reds: 14.8.
Match halves
Tokyo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.13. Urawa Reds: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Tokyo: 31-45+ (4 goals). Urawa Reds: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tokyo have won 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 1 goal in that run, while Urawa Reds have also recorded 4 wins but have conceded 7 goals. Tokyo have won 75% of their home matches and kept a clean sheet in 75% of them; away from home, Urawa have lost half of their matches and conceded an average of 2.25 goals. The visitors’ attack is nevertheless dangerous: they average 2 goals away from home from an xG of 1.79, compared with the hosts’ 1.5 goals and xG of 1.62 at home. Tokyo’s defensive strength is the key factor: in front of their home crowd, they allow chances worth an average xG of 1.25, while Urawa’s corresponding away figure is 1.74. The home win is therefore the most likely outcome, although the visitors’ attacking threat limits the size of Tokyo’s advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 100% of Tokyo’s home matches and 75% of Urawa Reds’ away matches, with both teams averaging 2.0 goals scored in these conditions. Neither side has yet failed to score in a match under these conditions, strengthening the case for both teams to find the net. Urawa average 18 shots and generate an xG of 1.79 away from home, while Tokyo allow opponents an xG of 1.51 at home. However, Tokyo’s recent defensive form calls for caution: they have conceded just 1 goal in five matches, with BTTS landing in only 20% of those games. Despite this counterargument, the attacking output of both teams and the high BTTS rates in the relevant home and away matches point towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams are averaging 2.0 goals per game this season, and their matches so far have gone Over 1.5 goals in 100% and 75% of cases, respectively. The chances data also points to at least two goals: Tokyo’s xG is 1,27 and Urawa’s is 1,79, with the visitors averaging 18 shots per match compared with 11,5 for the hosts. However, Tokyo have conceded just 1 goal in their last five matches, none of which went Over 2.5 goals, weakening the case for higher lines. Therefore, with a projected total of 3,10 goals, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick; I estimate its probability at 82%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Tokyo were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and did not concede before half-time in any of them. Urawa did average 1.4 first-half goals over this period, but Tokyo did not lead at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, weakening the 1/1 scenario. After the break, the advantage shifts towards the home side: they won the second half in 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals in those halves, while Urawa won it just once and averaged 0.8 goals. Tokyo conceded an average of just 0.2 goals per match across their last 5 fixtures, compared with 1.4 for Urawa, making a half-time draw followed by a home win the strongest HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tokyo | Urawa Reds | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tokyo is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Tokyo · 2.4 pts / match - Urawa Reds
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Urawa Reds is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Tokyo · 2 goals / match - Urawa Reds
Tokyo is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Tokyo · 2.25 goals / match - Urawa Reds
Tokyo scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Urawa Reds keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Urawa Reds scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Tokyo keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tokyo
Over / Under - Urawa Reds
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tokyo is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Tokyo · 1.13 pts / match - Urawa Reds
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tokyo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Urawa Reds - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tokyo
Urawa Reds
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Tokyo | Liga | Urawa Reds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 2.95 | ▲ 4.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 59% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 53% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 23% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | • 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tokyo 1 - 0 - 1 Urawa Reds. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tokyo vs Urawa Reds?
The J1 League match finished Tokyo 3:0 Urawa Reds. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tokyo and Urawa Reds?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 1, Urawa Reds won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tokyo vs Urawa Reds?
Tokyo score 1.75 goals per game on average and Urawa Reds 2.00. The J1 League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Tokyo's matches and 88% of Urawa Reds's.
What form are Tokyo and Urawa Reds in?
Over the last 5 games Tokyo have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Urawa Reds 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tokyo vs Urawa Reds?
The statistical background for Tokyo vs Urawa Reds — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.