Toluca vs Juárez: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Toluca played Juárez in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Toluca: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Juárez: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Toluca scores 2.50 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Juárez scores 1.55 and concedes 1.70. League average: 3.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Toluca 61%, Juárez 80%. Over 2.5: Toluca 67%, Juárez 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Toluca has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.27. Toluca: 17.3 shots per match, Juárez: 11.5.

Match halves

Toluca: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.28. Juárez: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Toluca: 16-30 (10 goals). Juárez: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga MX: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
TolucaJuárez
24Shots6
TolucaJuárez
4Shots on target0
TolucaJuárez
1.96xG0.47
TolucaJuárez
7Corners2
TolucaJuárez
25Dangerous attacks12
TolucaJuárez
12Fouls10
TolucaJuárez
1Cards3
TolucaJuárez

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.5Goals scored / match1.55
TolucaJuárez
1.06Goals conceded / match1.7
TolucaJuárez
55%Average possession48%
TolucaJuárez
6.06Shots on target / match3.7
TolucaJuárez

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.33Shots per match11.5
TolucaJuárez
6.06Shots on target3.7
TolucaJuárez
14.4%Shot conversion13.5%
TolucaJuárez
55%Possession48%
TolucaJuárez
1.81xG for1.27
TolucaJuárez
1.18xG against1.28
TolucaJuárez

Shooting quality

Toluca: DominantJuárez: Efficient finishing
TolucaJuárez
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Toluca is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Toluca · 1.2 pts / match - Juárez

Toluca
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W22% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-2
2.22 pts / match · goal difference +26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Juárez
WLLWL
Season result split
35% W25% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-8
1.30 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-5
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toluca is 61% better for: goals scored per match.

2.5 goals / match - Toluca · 1.55 goals / match - Juárez

Toluca is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.06 goals / match - Toluca · 1.7 goals / match - Juárez

Toluca scoring profile: very strong

Toluca scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Juárez keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).

Juárez scoring profile: very strong

Juárez scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).

45Goals scored (season)31
TolucaJuárez
19Goals conceded (season)34
TolucaJuárez
3.56Average goals in match3.25
TolucaJuárez
6Goals scored (last 5)7
TolucaJuárez
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
TolucaJuárez

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal90%
TolucaJuárez
78%2 goals50%
TolucaJuárez
56%3 goals10%
TolucaJuárez
22%4 goals5%
TolucaJuárez

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal90%
TolucaJuárez
28%2 goals45%
TolucaJuárez
6%3 goals25%
TolucaJuárez
6%4 goals10%
TolucaJuárez

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time30%
TolucaJuárez
11%BTTS in both halves5%
TolucaJuárez
67%Scored in both halves20%
TolucaJuárez

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS65%
TolucaJuárez
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TolucaJuárez
40%BTTS - last 5100%
TolucaJuárez

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
TolucaJuárez
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
TolucaJuárez
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
TolucaJuárez

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
TolucaJuárez
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
TolucaJuárez
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
TolucaJuárez

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Toluca is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.89 pts / match - Toluca · 1.55 pts / match - Juárez

Toluca - half-time state
56% leading22% draw22% trailing
Juárez - half-time state
45% leading20% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.89Points per match (1st half)1.55
TolucaJuárez
1.22Goals scored (1st half)0.8
TolucaJuárez
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
TolucaJuárez
1.89Average goals (1st half)1.6
TolucaJuárez
56%Clean sheet before half-time45%
TolucaJuárez
28%No goal before half-time40%
TolucaJuárez

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)1.2
TolucaJuárez
1.28Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
TolucaJuárez
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
TolucaJuárez
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.65
TolucaJuárez
61%Clean sheet after half-time35%
TolucaJuárez
22%No goal after half-time50%
TolucaJuárez

Toluca - second-half results

72% W17% D11% L
34
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Juárez - second-half results

30% W30% D40% L
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding78%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 35%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Toluca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Juárez - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Toluca
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
10
3
16-30
8
5
31-45
9
2
46-60
6
2
61-75
8
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Juárez
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
9
31-45
3
6
46-60
3
7
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Toluca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.81
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.69
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Juárez

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

TolucaLigaJuárez
Average goals in match 3.563.09 3.25
Both teams scored 61%58% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%57% 65%
Clean sheets 33%23% 10%
Goal before half-time 83%74% 85%
Goal after half-time 89%80% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Katia Itzel GarcíaMatches officiated: 15
5.07Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins33%Draws27%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Toluca 2 - 0 - 0 Juárez. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FC Juárez
1 : 2
Deportivo Toluca FC
FC Juárez
0 : 2
Deportivo Toluca FC

FAQ

What was the result of Toluca vs Juárez?

The Liga MX match finished Toluca 0:0 Juárez. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Juárez?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca won 2, Juárez won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Juárez?

Toluca score 2.50 goals per game on average and Juárez 1.55. The Liga MX average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Toluca's matches and 80% of Juárez's.

What form are Toluca and Juárez in?

Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Juárez 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Juárez?

The statistical background for Toluca vs Juárez — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.