Torino vs Lecce: match statistics
Despite their poor league position, Torino hold a clear advantage over Lecce in key offensive statistics. The home side averages 1 goal per match at home with 4.55 shots on target, while Lecce average just 0.6 goals away with 1.7 shots on target per game. Lecce have not won any of their last 5 matches and fail to score in half of their away fixtures. Torino have higher expected goals (xG) values (1.4 vs 0.92) and better possession (46% vs 39%), suggesting greater control over the game. Although both teams are in poor form, the statistics clearly point to a higher chance of the hosts securing all three points in this match.
Torino vs Lecce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Torino played Lecce in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Torino: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Lecce: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Torino scores 0.95 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Lecce scores 0.59 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Torino 41%, Lecce 32%. Over 2.5: Torino 59%, Lecce 32%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Torino has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.07. Torino: 11.9 shots per match, Lecce: 9.8.
Match halves
Torino: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.50. Lecce: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.23.
Goals by minute
Torino: 76-90+ (5 goals). Lecce: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Despite their poor league position, Torino hold a clear advantage over Lecce in key offensive statistics. The home side averages 1 goal per match at home with 4.55 shots on target, while Lecce average just 0.6 goals away with 1.7 shots on target per game. Lecce have not won any of their last 5 matches and fail to score in half of their away fixtures. Torino have higher expected goals (xG) values (1.4 vs 0.92) and better possession (46% vs 39%), suggesting greater control over the game. Although both teams are in poor form, the statistics clearly point to a higher chance of the hosts securing all three points in this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Torino | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Torino is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Torino · 0.2 pts / match - Lecce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Torino is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Torino · 0.59 goals / match - Lecce
Lecce is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Torino · 1.32 goals / match - Lecce
Torino scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Lecce scores in 45% of matches (10 of 22 matches), while Torino keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Torino
Over / Under - Lecce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecce is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Torino · 1.23 pts / match - Lecce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Torino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Torino
Lecce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Torino | Liga | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.77 | 2.41 | ▼ 1.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 45% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 32% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 64% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Torino 0 - 0 - 1 Lecce. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Torino vs Lecce?
The Serie A match finished Torino 1:0 Lecce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Torino vs Lecce?
Torino score 0.95 goals per game on average and Lecce 0.59. The Serie A average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Torino's matches and 32% of Lecce's.
What form are Torino and Lecce in?
Over the last 5 games Torino have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lecce 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Torino vs Lecce?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.